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Anaheim Ducks at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV MSG+, KCOP-13·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Anaheim Ducks 5-3. The Devils came back from two goals down. The Ducks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Stefan Noesen's goal at 15:53 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 52% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.1 to 1.9; shots on goal were ANA 24, NJD 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Ryan Miller stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.5 goals below expected; Cory Schneider stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Stefan Noesen (2 G), 2. Miles Wood (2 G), 3. Jesper Bratt (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    S. Noesen2 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    M. Wood2 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    J. Bratt1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA2611008324
NJDNJD07215312534

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    R. Rakell (13), J. Manson (11)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    6:44
  2. ANA
    snapxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    10:30

2nd period

  1. NJD
    M. Wood(8)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    8:11
  2. ANA
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    11:21
  3. NJD
    wristxG 0.01win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    18:16

3rd period

  1. NJD
    snapxG 0.04win prob +29 pts
    3-3
    5:49
  2. NJD
    snapxG 0.28win prob +39 pts
    3-4
    15:53
  3. NJD
    wristxG 0.59win prob +5 pts
    3-5
    19:53

Penalties

ANA 4 PIM·NJD 4 PIM

2nd

  • 6:29ANAJosh Manson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 9:18ANAHampus Lindholm · Holdingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min

3rd

  • 3:36NJDJesper Bratt · Trippingdrawn by Cam Fowler2 min
  • 13:02NJDBlake Coleman · Slashingdrawn by Ondrej Kase2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalANA goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Stefan Noesen, 3rd 15:53 — NJD 52% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Noesen · Goal · xG 0.59S. Noesen · Goal · xG 0.28K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.18D. Stafford · Missed · xG 0.16D. Stafford · On goal · xG 0.15T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.15S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.14N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.14N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.12M. Wood · Goal · xG 0.11N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.11N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.07B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.07K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.06D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.05T. Zajac · Missed · xG 0.05B. Gibbons · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.04J. Bratt · Goal · xG 0.04T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.04A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.04B. Gibbons · On goal · xG 0.04J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.04T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.03P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.03K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.03A. Greene · Missed · xG 0.03B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.03S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.03P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.02S. Vatanen · Missed · xG 0.02J. Moore · On goal · xG 0.02B. Boyle · Missed · xG 0.02S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.02S. Santini · On goal · xG 0.02J. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.01A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.01M. Wood · Goal · xG 0.01M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moore · Missed · xG 0.01A. Greene · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.01S. Santini · On goal · xG 0.00S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD5 G · 3.1 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsNJD
1.93 G
All situations
4 G3.1
1.53 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA38%62%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.89 – 2.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsNJD
24
Shots on goal
34
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
12
Hits
14
5
Blocked shots
15
2
Giveaways
5
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD000-100.05110—24:28
26B. MontourD000-300.03000—20:36
67R. RakellR011000.07000—20:01
47H. LindholmD000+130.09122—19:53
15R. GetzlafC101-120.071003819:32
14A. HenriqueC112-130.440106519:28
33J. SilfverbergR101-130.250005019:12
42J. MansonD022+210.05202—18:52
3K. BieksaD000010.00100—17:03
73A. WelinskiD000020.06010—16:23
50A. VermetteC000000.061006515:58
7A. CoglianoC011010.0010010015:36
63K. RoyC000020.19100014:18
25O. KaseR000-110.05000—14:06
21C. WagnerR000-100.16300—12:55
38D. GrantC000000.000005610:14
37N. RitchieL000020.14000—10:00
48L. ShawR000030.18000—09:34
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30R. Miller(L)33294.8792.53-1.4758:09

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).