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Anaheim Ducks at Washington Capitals

Final/OTTV NBCSWA, KCOP-13·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-2 in overtime, Alex Ovechkin scoring at 1:58. The Capitals came back from two goals down. The Ducks led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Ovechkin's goal at 1:58 of overtime, which took the Capitals' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.8 to 2.0; shots on goal were ANA 30, WSH 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. John Gibson stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Braden Holtby stopped 28 of 30 (.933). Three stars: 1. Alex Ovechkin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Braden Holtby (28 saves, .933), 3. John Gibson (24 saves, .889).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    B. Holtby28 saves, .933
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    J. Gibson24 saves, .889

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ANAANA171130802230
WSHWSH070821111327

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    L. Shaw (6), J. Manson (10)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    16:01

2nd period

  1. ANA
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    2-0
    7:36

3rd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.35win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    3:05
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.14win prob +29 pts
    2-2
    7:27

Overtime

  1. WSH
    slapxG 0.07win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    1:58

Penalties

ANA 5 PIM·WSH 7 PIM

1st

  • 4:16ANAKevin Bieksa · Fightingdrawn by Tom Wilson5 min
  • 4:16WSHTom Wilson · Fightingdrawn by Kevin Bieksa5 min

2nd

  • 7:31WSHAndre Burakovsky · Hookingdrawn by Adam Henrique2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalANA goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Alex Ovechkin, OT 1:58 — WSH 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.38A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.37N. Backstrom · Goal · xG 0.35J. Beagle · On goal · xG 0.22T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.19C. Djoos · Missed · xG 0.16A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.16T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.14A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.14E. Kuznetsov · Goal · xG 0.14J. Beagle · On goal · xG 0.13T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.12A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.12T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.12J. Beagle · On goal · xG 0.10N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.09A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.07L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.06J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.06B. Connolly · Missed · xG 0.05A. Chiasson · Missed · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.05A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.05B. Connolly · Missed · xG 0.05J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.04N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.04L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.04T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.03B. Orpik · On goal · xG 0.03N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.02D. Smith-Pelly · Missed · xG 0.02M. Bowey · Missed · xG 0.02J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.02T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Niskanen · Missed · xG 0.02M. Bowey · Missed · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.01D. Smith-Pelly · On goal · xG 0.01C. Djoos · On goal · xG 0.00C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.00N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH3 G · 3.8 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsWSH
2.02 G
All situations
3 G3.8
1.91 G
Even strength
3 G3.8
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA23%77%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.98 – 3.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsWSH
30
Shots on goal
27
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/1
Power play
0/0
5
Penalty minutes
7
26
Hits
25
23
Blocked shots
16
10
Giveaways
10
11
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD011-120.11130—24:07
23F. BeaucheminD000020.03250—20:38
15R. GetzlafC011-110.004004420:24
26B. MontourD000-100.14210—20:00
42J. MansonD011030.10230—19:54
33J. SilfverbergR101-130.29010—19:53
67R. RakellR000-250.32200—19:40
3K. BieksaD000-100.01325—19:26
14A. HenriqueC000-200.090104518:16
47H. LindholmD000030.05010—17:48
63K. RoyC000-110.05110017:19
7A. CoglianoC000-130.14110016:13
21C. WagnerR000010.10300—14:56
50A. VermetteC000010.010106314:42
25O. KaseR000010.11200—13:41
22D. RasmussenC000+100.15110010:16
38D. GrantC101+130.191206709:52
48L. ShawR011+110.09100—08:49
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(O)27243.8893.84+0.8461:58

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).