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San Jose Sharks at Calgary Flames

FinalTV NBCSCA, SNF·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Calgary Flames 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Sharks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joonas Donskoi's goal at 17:12 of the third period, which took the Sharks' chances from 48% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 2.7 to 2.4; shots on goal were SJS 29, CGY 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Aaron Dell stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Mike Smith stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Michael Frolik (1 G), 2. Chris Tierney (1 G, 1 A), 3. Joonas Donskoi (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    M. Frolik1 G
  2. ★★
    SJS
    C. Tierney1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    J. Donskoi1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS1911416329
CGYCGY113010111234

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:42
  2. SJS
    slapxG 0.19win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    16:07

2nd period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    10:00

3rd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.14win prob +29 pts
    2-2
    7:39
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.57win prob +43 pts
    3-2
    17:12

Penalties

SJS 6 PIM·CGY 6 PIM

1st

  • 11:02CGYDougie Hamilton · Trippingdrawn by Melker Karlsson2 min
  • 12:10SJSKevin Labanc · Trippingdrawn by Troy Brouwer2 min

2nd

  • 1:08SJSTomas Hertl · Trippingdrawn by Michael Frolik2 min
  • 2:31SJSBrenden Dillon · High stickingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 4:03CGYDougie Hamilton · Hookingdrawn by Logan Couture2 min
  • 9:06CGYMike Smith · Trippingdrawn by Joe Thornton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalSJS goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Joonas Donskoi, 3rd 17:12 — SJS 48% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.25M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.25M. Ferland · Missed · xG 0.21J. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.14S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.13S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.12J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.11S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.11J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.10M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.10T. Brouwer · Missed · xG 0.09M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.07G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.07M. Frolik · Goal · xG 0.07J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.06J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.06D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.05M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.05M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.04B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.04M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02M. Stajan · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.02M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.01M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.01T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.00M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.00T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY2 G · 2.7 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsCGY
2.43 G
All situations
2 G2.7
2.22 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS44%56%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.37 – 2.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsCGY
29
Shots on goal
34
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
7
Hits
20
14
Blocked shots
14
10
Giveaways
5
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88B. BurnsD000030.08000—25:47
44M. VlasicD000+130.07030—24:58
61J. BraunD011+120.04010—24:04
4B. DillonD000030.09022—21:37
8J. PavelskiC000-120.3030010018:44
19J. ThorntonC011030.230105618:09
39L. CoutureC000030.140005017:01
48T. HertlC000-110.041124116:36
50C. TierneyC112+110.070005916:23
68M. KarlssonC000+100.00020014:23
62K. LabancR011010.03102—14:01
28T. MeierR112+120.25100—14:00
27J. DonskoiR112+230.92010—13:42
42J. WardR000-100.000005011:45
72T. HeedD000-110.02010—11:32
36J. HansenR000-100.00010—11:02
20M. SorensenL000-110.05000—10:58
74D. DeMeloD000-100.07110—09:26
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30A. Dell(W)34322.9412.73+0.7359:52

Season series

SJS leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).