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Anaheim Ducks at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the St. Louis Blues 3-1. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrew Cogliano's goal at 11:11 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 2.9 to 1.7; shots on goal were ANA 18, STL 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. John Gibson stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Jake Allen stopped 15 of 18 (.833), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kevin Roy (2 G), 2. Andrew Cogliano (1 G), 3. John Gibson (29 saves, .967).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    K. Roy2 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    A. Cogliano1 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    J. Gibson29 saves, .967

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA031728318
STLSTL06013111130

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.15win prob +20 pts
    1-0
    11:11

3rd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.36win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    5:43
  2. ANA
    D. Grant (8), L. Shaw (5)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +5 pts
    3-0
    8:28
  3. STL
    wristxG 0.07win prob +2 pts
    3-1
    14:07

Penalties

ANA 8 PIM·STL 2 PIM

1st

  • 2:03STLJordan Schmaltz · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 3:40ANAserved by R. Rakell · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 18:26ANAAndrew Cogliano · Hookingdrawn by Paul Stastny2 min

2nd

  • 15:49ANARyan Getzlaf · Hookingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 18:32ANABrandon Montour · Trippingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalANA goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Andrew Cogliano, 2nd 11:11 — ANA 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.14B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.10P. Berglund · Missed · xG 0.10V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.09P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.08V. Sobotka · On goal · xG 0.08M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.07B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.07J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.07P. Berglund · Goal · xG 0.07V. Sobotka · On goal · xG 0.06C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.06B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.05A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.04K. Brodziak · On goal · xG 0.04B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.04S. Upshall · Missed · xG 0.04A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.04V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.03V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.03R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.03J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.03P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.03S. Upshall · On goal · xG 0.03R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.03B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.03B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.03V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.03V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02D. Jaskin · On goal · xG 0.02V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02R. Bortuzzo · Missed · xG 0.01K. Brodziak · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.00R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.00
STL1 G · 1.7 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsSTL
2.93 G
All situations
1 G1.7
1.63 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 67 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA52%48%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.78 – 1.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsSTL
18
Shots on goal
30
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/1
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
22
Hits
20
19
Blocked shots
16
2
Giveaways
4
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD011+110.10010—23:26
15R. GetzlafC011+100.070124021:15
26B. MontourD000020.07312—20:33
42J. MansonD000+100.00410—20:12
23F. BeaucheminD000010.03220—19:44
33J. SilfverbergR000+110.13010—19:25
3K. BieksaD000+110.00410—18:50
14A. HenriqueC000000.590105617:36
73A. WelinskiD011+100.00030—16:33
63K. RoyC202+220.51200016:11
50A. VermetteC000020.550305015:28
67R. RakellR011020.45210—14:59
39J. BlandisiC000000.00100014:49
25O. KaseR000010.01010—13:51
7A. CoglianoC101020.17102013:07
48L. ShawR011+120.17010—09:27
21C. WagnerR000010.043104409:20
38D. GrantC011+100.0000010007:14
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(W)30291.9671.72+0.7260:00

Season series

ANA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).