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Hurricanes at Ducks
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
2
Anaheim Ducks
▸3
FinalTV FS-CR, FS-W·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Carolina Hurricanes 3-2. The Hurricanes scored first; the Ducks answered. The Ducks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jakob Silfverberg's goal at 19:25 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.0 to 2.3; shots on goal were CAR 30, ANA 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Scott Darling stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 0.7 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. John Gibson (28 saves, .933), 2. Jakob Silfverberg (1 G), 3. Logan Shaw (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    J. Gibson28 saves, .933
  2. ★★
    ANA
    J. Silfverberg1 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    L. Shaw1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR1906115230
ANAANA1418111323

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    J. Williams(6)
    T. van Riemsdyk (5), J. Skinner (8)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    1:37
  2. ANA
    D. Grant(6)
    L. Shaw (4)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    5:55

2nd period

  1. ANA
    J. Silfverberg(7)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13win prob +23 pts
    1-2
    19:25

3rd period

  1. ANA
    L. Shaw(2)
    A. Welinski (1), A. Vermette (6)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    1:52
  2. CAR
    V. Rask(7)
    J. Skinner (9), T. van Riemsdyk (6)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +7 pts
    2-3
    17:20

Penalties

CAR 4 PIM·ANA 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:42ANACam Fowler · Holdingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 16:04ANAOndrej Kase · Boardingdrawn by Derek Ryan2 min

2nd

  • 11:25CARTrevor van Riemsdyk · Holdingdrawn by Chris Wagner2 min
  • 14:40CARSebastian Aho · Slashingdrawn by Kevin Bieksa2 min

3rd

  • 9:56ANARyan Getzlaf · Hookingdrawn by Elias Lindholm2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalCAR goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Jakob Silfverberg, 2nd 19:25 — ANA 53% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.18A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.17J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.17J. Silfverberg · Goal · xG 0.13D. Grant · Goal · xG 0.12L. Shaw · Goal · xG 0.11R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.10A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.09C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.09J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.09A. Vermette · On goal · xG 0.08A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.08A. Vermette · On goal · xG 0.08J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.07R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.06J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.06D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.05A. Welinski · Missed · xG 0.05R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.05B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.05A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.04C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.04K. Bieksa · On goal · xG 0.04O. Kase · Missed · xG 0.04R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.04C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.03F. Beauchemin · On goal · xG 0.03A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.02A. Vermette · On goal · xG 0.02A. Vermette · Missed · xG 0.02A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.02C. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.02A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.02F. Beauchemin · Missed · xG 0.01O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.01A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.01R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.00L. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA3 G · 2.3 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsANA
3.02 G
All situations
3 G2.3
2.12 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR61%39%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.93 – 2.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsANA
30
Shots on goal
23
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
14
13
Blocked shots
19
11
Giveaways
15
7
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27J. FaulkD000-220.28100—25:16
20S. AhoC000-130.69012022:09
74J. SlavinD000+100.04110—22:07
86T. TeravainenC000-130.13010020:02
11J. StaalC000-110.033106018:16
4H. FleuryD000-300.01210—17:55
5N. HanifinD000+120.11030—17:49
22B. PesceD000000.00110—17:18
53J. SkinnerL022+160.53000—17:06
7D. RyanC000+120.224005017:02
14J. WilliamsR101+120.16020—16:42
49V. RaskC101010.240005715:18
57T. van RiemsdykD022+120.04102—14:42
28E. LindholmC000030.300004414:28
23B. McGinnL000030.17100—10:57
42J. NordstromC000-100.0011010010:48
16M. KrugerC000-100.012103309:51
19J. JoorisR000-100.001005009:43
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Darling(L)23203.8702.34-0.6658:31

Season series

ANA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).