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Jets at Panthers
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
4
Florida Panthers
▸6
FinalTV FS-F, TSN3·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Winnipeg Jets 6-4. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Micheal Haley's goal at 9:58 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 52% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 4.1 to 3.5; shots on goal were WPG 39, FLA 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Eric Comrie stopped 30 of 35 (.857), 2.3 goals below expected; James Reimer stopped 35 of 39 (.897). Three stars: 1. Micheal Haley (1 G, 1 A), 2. Derek MacKenzie (2 A), 3. Patrik Laine (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    M. Haley1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    D. MacKenzie2 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    P. Laine1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG29112118439
FLAFLA21511239636

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    M. Pysyk(3)
    D. MacKenzie (5), M. Haley (5)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:48
  2. FLA
    A. Ekblad(5)
    J. Huberdeau (19), A. Barkov (17)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    3:17
  3. WPG
    N. Ehlers(12)
    P. Laine (9), B. Chiarot (2)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    15:13
  4. WPG
    A. Lowry(4)
    B. Tanev (4)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    17:43

2nd period

  1. WPG
    B. Wheeler(8)PPG
    P. Laine (10), M. Perreault (8)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    3-2
    4:46
  2. FLA
    D. Malgin(3)
    C. Sceviour (4), J. McGinn (7)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +21 pts
    3-3
    15:47

3rd period

  1. FLA
    V. Trocheck(11)PPG
    J. Huberdeau (20), K. Yandle (14)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +18 pts
    3-4
    0:48
  2. WPG
    P. Laine(15)
    B. Little (12), D. Byfuglien (15)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +24 pts
    4-4
    1:51
  3. FLA
    M. Haley(2)
    D. MacKenzie (6), M. Matheson (7)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +31 pts
    4-5
    9:58
  4. FLA
    V. Trocheck(12)EN
    J. Huberdeau (21)
    wristxG 0.76win prob +2 pts
    4-6
    19:49

Penalties

WPG 10 PIM·FLA 16 PIM

2nd

  • 2:40FLADryden Hunt · Trippingdrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min
  • 3:27FLADerek MacKenzie · Slashingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 9:34WPGBen Chiarot · High stickingdrawn by Jamie McGinn2 min
  • 16:23FLAJared McCann · Hookingdrawn by Bryan Little2 min
  • 17:40WPGDustin Byfuglien · Roughingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 19:53WPGBlake Wheeler · High stickingdrawn by Keith Yandle2 min

3rd

  • 5:38FLAJared McCann · Holding the stickdrawn by Tyler Myers2 min
  • 6:24FLAJonathan Huberdeau · Hookingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min
  • 12:16FLAJared McCann · Slashingdrawn by Dmitry Kulikov2 min
  • 15:56FLAMike Matheson · Hookingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min
  • 18:09FLAMark Pysyk · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 18:09WPGBrandon Tanev · Slashingdrawn by Mark Pysyk2 min
  • 18:57WPGMathieu Perreault · Trippingdrawn by Keith Yandle2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalWPG goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Micheal Haley, 3rd 9:58 — FLA 52% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.76J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.44D. MacKenzie · On goal · xG 0.28D. MacKenzie · On goal · xG 0.14D. Malgin · Goal · xG 0.14M. Pysyk · Goal · xG 0.13V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.11J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.11A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.09J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.09N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.08C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.07J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.07C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.07C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.06N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.06J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.06K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.05N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.05M. Haley · Goal · xG 0.05A. Ekblad · Goal · xG 0.05J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.04J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.04R. Vrbata · On goal · xG 0.04N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.04V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.04R. Vrbata · On goal · xG 0.03N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.03N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.02D. MacKenzie · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pysyk · Missed · xG 0.01J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.01V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.00R. Vrbata · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA6 G · 3.5 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsFLA
4.14 G
All situations
5 G3.5
2.23 G
Even strength
4 G2.3
1.91 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG71%29%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.03 – 2.68

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsFLA
39
Shots on goal
36
61%
Faceoffs
39%
1/7
Power play
2/4
10
Penalty minutes
16
24
Hits
30
8
Blocked shots
12
7
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55M. ScheifeleC000-280.832006125:50
26B. WheelerR101-150.59102—25:41
33D. ByfuglienD011-100.13212—24:48
29P. LaineL123+140.65000—19:23
81K. ConnorL000-240.24100—19:01
44J. MorrisseyD000-230.09000—18:10
57T. MyersD000-110.11010—17:52
8J. TroubaD000+100.00130—17:32
5D. KulikovD000-100.00200—16:35
9A. CoppC000+120.22210015:00
13B. TanevL011+120.33102—14:30
17A. LowryC101+110.113006214:28
27N. EhlersL101+240.54300—13:03
7B. ChiarotD011+210.00102—13:01
18B. LittleC011+210.180007312:54
85M. PerreaultC011-210.00202011:00
40J. ArmiaR000-210.01000—07:30
15M. HendricksC000-210.033206707:15
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1E. Comrie(L)35305.8572.75-2.2558:41

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).