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Senators at Ducks
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
0
Anaheim Ducks
▸3
FinalTV FS-W, TSN5·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Ottawa Senators 3-0. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Henrique's goal at 3:47 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.7 to 2.1; shots on goal were OTT 29, ANA 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Craig Anderson stopped 19 of 21 (.905), 0.6 goals below expected; Ryan Miller stopped 29 of 29 (1.000), 2.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Miller (29 saves, 1.000), 2. Adam Henrique (2 G), 3. Cam Fowler (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    R. Miller29 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    ANA
    A. Henrique2 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    C. Fowler1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT0808013029
ANAANA0102517322

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. ANA
    A. Henrique(5)
    R. Rakell (11), C. Perry (15)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    3:47
  2. ANA
    O. Kase(6)
    N. Ritchie (6), J. Manson (9)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    11:10

3rd period

  1. ANA
    A. Henrique(6)EN
    A. Vermette (5), C. Fowler (5)
    wristxG 0.55win prob +1 pts
    0-3
    18:25

Penalties

OTT 9 PIM·ANA 11 PIM

1st

  • 6:11OTTDerick Brassard · Holding the stickdrawn by Logan Shaw2 min
  • 7:15OTTDion Phaneuf · Fightingdrawn by Corey Perry5 min
  • 7:15ANACorey Perry · Fightingdrawn by Dion Phaneuf5 min
  • 12:31ANABrandon Montour · Interferencedrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min
  • 19:39ANAAndrew Cogliano · Trippingdrawn by Erik Karlsson2 min

2nd

  • 11:49ANAJosh Manson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 3:48OTTDion Phaneuf · Slashingdrawn by Chris Wagner2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalOTT goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Adam Henrique, 2nd 3:47 — ANA 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.55A. Vermette · On goal · xG 0.17A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.15A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.14O. Kase · Goal · xG 0.13D. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.12A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.09J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.09D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.08C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.07D. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.06B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.05A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.04K. Bieksa · Missed · xG 0.04N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.04A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.03O. Kase · Missed · xG 0.03A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.02A. Vermette · On goal · xG 0.02A. Vermette · On goal · xG 0.02F. Beauchemin · On goal · xG 0.02C. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.02A. Vermette · On goal · xG 0.02F. Beauchemin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.00R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA3 G · 2.1 xG · 28 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsANA
2.70 G
All situations
2 G2.1
1.70 G
Even strength
2 G1.0
0.90 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT74%26%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.67 – 1.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsANA
29
Shots on goal
22
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/3
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
11
18
Hits
14
11
Blocked shots
11
8
Giveaways
12
1
Takeaways
0

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD000-150.38010—28:00
5C. CeciD000-110.01220—21:41
61M. StoneR000-230.50000—20:37
19D. BrassardC000-220.302025619:45
68M. HoffmanC000-100.14020019:26
67B. HarpurD000000.00410—17:47
2D. PhaneufD000-110.04117—17:30
9B. RyanR000-210.02110—17:14
72T. ChabotD000-120.02100—16:10
44J. PageauC000020.303005616:07
95M. DucheneC000-210.120003715:32
10T. PyattL000010.01000—15:07
18R. DzingelC000-110.43100014:21
29J. OduyaD000-130.05000—14:19
15Z. SmithC000-130.19110013:42
17N. ThompsonC000000.001203811:20
40G. DumontC000030.16000009:59
14A. BurrowsR000000.00100—08:37
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41C. Anderson(L)21192.9051.42-0.5858:46

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).