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Florida Panthers at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV FS-F, MSG+·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the New Jersey Devils 3-2. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jared McCann's goal at 12:45 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 48% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.6 to 2.2; shots on goal were FLA 38, NJD 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Roberto Luongo stopped 23 of 25 (.920); Cory Schneider stopped 35 of 38 (.921). Three stars: 1. Jared McCann (1 G), 2. Nico Hischier (1 G), 3. Jesper Bratt (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    J. McCann1 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    N. Hischier1 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    J. Bratt1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA01611527338
NJDNJD0307215225

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov(7)SHG
    snapxG 0.07win prob +23 pts
    1-0
    17:20

3rd period

  1. NJD
    snapxG 0.13win prob +25 pts
    1-1
    2:20
  2. FLA
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.03win prob +27 pts
    2-1
    4:07
  3. NJD
    Unassisted
    deflectedxG 0.03win prob +30 pts
    2-2
    8:19
  4. FLA
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +36 pts
    3-2
    12:45

Penalties

FLA 8 PIM·NJD 10 PIM

1st

  • 7:57FLAVincent Trocheck · Trippingdrawn by Travis Zajac2 min
  • 12:45NJDAndy Greene · Interferencedrawn by Denis Malgin2 min
  • 18:57NJDAdam Henrique · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Jamie McGinn2 min
  • 18:57FLAJamie McGinn · Roughingdrawn by Adam Henrique2 min

2nd

  • 14:27NJDBlake Coleman · Hookingdrawn by Dryden Hunt2 min
  • 16:03FLADenis Malgin · Trippingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
  • 18:53NJDBrian Gibbons · Holding the stickdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min

3rd

  • 17:15NJDTaylor Hall · Roughingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min
  • 17:15FLAAaron Ekblad · Holdingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalFLA goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Jared McCann, 3rd 12:45 — FLA 48% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.21J. Moore · On goal · xG 0.16T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.15S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.13N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.13P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.11B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.11N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.10D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.10B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.09T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.07T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.07A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.07B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.07P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.06D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.05A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.05D. Stafford · Missed · xG 0.05D. Stafford · On goal · xG 0.04M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.04J. Moore · On goal · xG 0.03T. Zajac · Missed · xG 0.03B. Gibbons · Missed · xG 0.03J. Bratt · Goal · xG 0.03B. Lovejoy · Missed · xG 0.03B. Lovejoy · On goal · xG 0.02S. Santini · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.02M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.02J. Moore · Missed · xG 0.02S. Santini · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moore · Missed · xG 0.01D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.01W. Butcher · Missed · xG 0.01P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.00S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD2 G · 2.2 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsNJD
2.63 G
All situations
2 G2.2
1.72 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA58%42%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.58 – 2.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsNJD
38
Shots on goal
25
65%
Faceoffs
35%
0/3
Power play
0/2
8
Penalty minutes
10
20
Hits
15
7
Blocked shots
12
8
Giveaways
6
10
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3K. YandleD000030.12100—25:35
5A. EkbladD000+140.22502—21:37
16A. BarkovC101030.552106821:04
21V. TrocheckC101+170.532026920:45
19M. MathesonD022+210.04100—20:16
52M. WeegarD000+120.02010—20:14
11J. HuberdeauL000020.08100—18:49
13M. PysykD000-120.03120—15:09
25H. HaapalaL000010.06100—14:24
7C. SceviourC000+130.040205014:05
6A. PetrovicD000-100.06100—13:56
17D. MacKenzieC000020.351107513:29
88J. McGinnL000000.07002—13:28
62D. MalginC000020.18002013:20
27N. BjugstadC000+110.03000013:14
73D. HuntL011-110.021003312:32
90J. McCannL101040.202007812:23
18M. HaleyL000000.00100—07:40
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1R. Luongo(W)25232.9202.17+0.1760:00

Season series

FLA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).