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Buffalo Sabres at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV MSG-B, SN·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Buffalo Sabres 3-0. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Galchenyuk's goal at 13:58 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 73% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.2 to 1.9; shots on goal were BUF 36, MTL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Robin Lehner stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.1 goals below expected; Carey Price stopped 36 of 36 (1.000), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Carey Price (36 saves, 1.000), 2. Jonathan Drouin (2 A), 3. Alex Galchenyuk (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    C. Price36 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    MTL
    J. Drouin2 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    A. Galchenyuk1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF010015011036
MTLMTL1141913326

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    J. Petry(3)PPG
    slapxG 0.04win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    12:54

2nd period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    13:58

3rd period

  1. MTL
    P. Byron(6)SHG
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.26win prob +6 pts
    0-3
    8:27

Penalties

BUF 4 PIM·MTL 4 PIM

1st

  • 12:40BUFJason Pominville · Hookingdrawn by Charles Hudon2 min
  • 13:36MTLTomas Plekanec · Delaying game2 min

2nd

  • 8:51BUFSeth Griffith · Hookingdrawn by Jakub Jerabek2 min

3rd

  • 7:52MTLAndrew Shaw · Slashingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalBUF goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Alex Galchenyuk, 2nd 13:58 — MTL 73% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Froese · Missed · xG 0.55T. Plekanec · Missed · xG 0.43M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.35P. Byron · Goal · xG 0.26M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.20A. Galchenyuk · Goal · xG 0.15M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.13C. Hudon · On goal · xG 0.13P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.12C. Hudon · On goal · xG 0.10P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.08A. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.08P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.07P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.06B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.05A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.05T. Plekanec · On goal · xG 0.04J. Petry · Goal · xG 0.04J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.04C. Hudon · On goal · xG 0.03J. Jerabek · Missed · xG 0.02J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.02A. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrow · On goal · xG 0.02A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.01J. Jerabek · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.01J. Jerabek · Missed · xG 0.01V. Mete · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrow · Missed · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.01C. Hudon · On goal · xG 0.01A. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.01A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.00B. Froese · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL3 G · 3.2 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsMTL
1.90 G
All situations
3 G3.2
1.60 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF50%50%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.84 – 1.83

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsMTL
36
Shots on goal
26
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
26
Hits
21
15
Blocked shots
30
4
Giveaways
23
2
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55R. RistolainenD000-220.08540—25:49
90R. O'ReillyC000-130.070108121:30
15J. EichelC000-180.481002521:10
9E. KaneL000050.321104420:51
82N. BeaulieuD000020.04100—20:47
6M. ScandellaD000-100.02010—20:37
21K. OkposoR000-230.09000—19:57
23S. ReinhartC000-110.10110018:38
93V. AntipinD000000.00010—18:08
19J. McCabeD000020.03100—17:31
29J. PominvilleR000030.06212—16:23
67B. PouliotL000010.12220—14:37
4J. GorgesD000000.00210—14:11
22J. LarssonL000-120.0530010013:44
17J. NolanC000-120.36100013:02
28Z. GirgensonsC000010.01500011:42
25S. GriffithC000010.03002009:03
10J. JosefsonC000000.001201705:28
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40R. Lehner(L)26233.8851.86-1.1454:38

Season series

MTL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).