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Flames at Capitals
NHL

Calgary Flames at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
▸4
Washington Capitals
1
FinalTV NBCSWA+, TVAS·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Washington Capitals 4-1. The Capitals scored first; the Flames answered. The Flames led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sean Monahan's goal at 5:22 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 48% to 64%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.4 to 2.8; shots on goal were CGY 39, WSH 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 2.4 goals saved above expected; Braden Holtby stopped 35 of 39 (.897), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mike Smith (29 saves, .967), 2. Sean Monahan (1 G, 1 A), 3. Johnny Gaudreau (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    M. Smith29 saves, .967
  2. ★★
    CGY
    S. Monahan1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    J. Gaudreau1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY111113215439
WSHWSH11206012130

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    L. Eller(4)
    J. Vrana (4), T. Wilson (5)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:02
  2. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(10)
    S. Monahan (10), D. Hamilton (7)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    4:49

2nd period

  1. CGY
    S. Monahan(12)PPG
    J. Gaudreau (21), M. Tkachuk (10)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    5:22

3rd period

  1. CGY
    M. Backlund(5)PPG
    D. Hamilton (8), M. Tkachuk (11)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +13 pts
    3-1
    4:38
  2. CGY
    M. Giordano(3)
    M. Backlund (9), J. Jagr (5)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +5 pts
    4-1
    6:39

Penalties

CGY 6 PIM·WSH 10 PIM

1st

  • 6:10CGYTroy Brouwer · Trippingdrawn by Jakub Vrana2 min
  • 10:07WSHNicklas Backstrom · Interferencedrawn by Sean Monahan2 min
  • 15:51WSHMadison Bowey · Holding the stickdrawn by Troy Brouwer2 min

2nd

  • 3:28WSHLars Eller · Hookingdrawn by Kris Versteeg2 min
  • 12:01CGYKris Versteeg · Hookingdrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min

3rd

  • 0:33CGYMark Giordano · Hookingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 3:50WSHBrett Connolly · High stickingdrawn by Dougie Hamilton2 min
  • 4:38WSHAlex Chiasson · Slashingdrawn by Jaromir Jagr2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalCGY goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Sean Monahan, 2nd 5:22 — CGY 48% → 64%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.33T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.27N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.20E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.14J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.13T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.13N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.13D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.13D. Smith-Pelly · On goal · xG 0.13L. Eller · Goal · xG 0.13A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.12A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.12C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.12T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.11A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.11N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.10A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.09A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.09A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.09J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.08N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.06N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.04A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.04N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.04E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.03L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.03M. Niskanen · Missed · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.03L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.02T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Smith-Pelly · Missed · xG 0.02B. Connolly · Missed · xG 0.02D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.02M. Bowey · Missed · xG 0.02M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.02T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.01T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01D. Smith-Pelly · On goal · xG 0.01T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Beagle · On goal · xG 0.01
WSH1 G · 3.4 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsWSH
2.84 G
All situations
1 G3.4
1.62 G
Even strength
1 G2.5
1.12 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY42%58%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.69 – 3.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsWSH
39
Shots on goal
30
51%
Faceoffs
49%
2/5
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
10
14
Hits
16
8
Blocked shots
20
4
Giveaways
10
10
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7T. BrodieD000-130.11010—24:30
5M. GiordanoD101+230.11002—22:04
23S. MonahanC112+160.530005521:20
24T. HamonicD000-130.09110—20:39
27D. HamiltonD022+220.10000—19:44
13J. GaudreauL112+140.15000—18:03
79M. FerlandL000+110.18310—16:51
11M. BacklundC112020.240107316:11
67M. FrolikR000-130.13000—15:50
93S. BennettC000030.181005015:34
26M. StoneD000000.00110—15:27
68J. JagrR011+100.12000—14:43
19M. TkachukL022000.02010—13:41
10K. VersteegR000030.24002—13:09
77M. JankowskiL000040.430005012:39
61B. KulakD000010.01110—12:15
36T. BrouwerR000000.00112—11:02
25F. HamiltonC000010.10600010:33
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(W)30291.9673.42+2.4259:45

Season series

CGY leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).