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Coyotes at Senators
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
▸3
Ottawa Senators
2
Final/OTTV FS-A, TVAS·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Ottawa Senators 3-2 in overtime, Anthony Duclair scoring at 1:23. The Senators scored first; the Coyotes answered. The Senators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Duclair's goal at 1:23 of overtime, which took the Coyotes' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — ARI 2.1, OTT 2.3; shots on goal were ARI 28, OTT 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Antti Raanta stopped 30 of 32 (.938); Mike Condon stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anthony Duclair (3 G), 2. Oliver Ekman-Larsson (2 A), 3. Mark Stone (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    A. Duclair3 G
  2. ★★
    ARI
    O. Ekman-Larsson2 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    M. Stone1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ARIARI180111811328
OTTOTT1811201101232

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    M. Stone(13)
    T. Pyatt (7), J. Oduya (2)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    17:49
  2. ARI
    A. Duclair(4)
    J. Demers (7)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    19:19

2nd period

  1. OTT
    M. Borowiecki(2)
    J. Pageau (9), C. Ceci (2)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    1:48

3rd period

  1. ARI
    A. Duclair(5)PPG
    A. Goligoski (9), O. Ekman-Larsson (10)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +28 pts
    2-2
    11:32

Overtime

  1. ARI
    A. Duclair(6)
    O. Ekman-Larsson (11), D. Stepan (7)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    1:23

Penalties

ARI 10 PIM·OTT 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:23OTTTom Pyatt · Holdingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min

2nd

  • 9:10OTTDerick Brassard · Trippingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min
  • 12:18ARILuke Schenn · Trippingdrawn by Bobby Ryan2 min
  • 18:17ARIJason Demers · Trippingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min

3rd

  • 0:19ARIAlex Goligoski · High stickingdrawn by Derick Brassard2 min
  • 2:47ARIserved by A. Duclair · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 10:10OTTserved by R. Dzingel · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 18:36ARITobias Rieder · Hookingdrawn by Cody Ceci2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalARI goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Anthony Duclair, OT 1:23 — ARI 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.18B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.16M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.12C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.12R. Dzingel · Missed · xG 0.11D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.10D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.10B. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.10M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.10M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.08B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.08M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.08N. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.07D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.07D. Brassard · Missed · xG 0.06D. Phaneuf · On goal · xG 0.06M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.06B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.06T. Pyatt · Missed · xG 0.05J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.05M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.04M. Borowiecki · Goal · xG 0.04M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.03R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.02M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.02R. Dzingel · Missed · xG 0.02M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.02F. Claesson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.02J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.02D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.02M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02F. Claesson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Harpur · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dzingel · Missed · xG 0.01T. Pyatt · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 2.3 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsOTT
2.13 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.52 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI47%53%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.12 – 2.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsOTT
28
Shots on goal
32
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/3
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
30
Hits
26
16
Blocked shots
15
10
Giveaways
13
3
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23O. Ekman-LarssonD022+130.13530—26:15
33A. GoligoskiD011-100.01242—23:38
55J. DemersD011000.00212—22:58
15B. RichardsonR000-110.030105319:53
21D. StepanC011060.261006719:46
2L. SchennD000010.09312—19:10
18C. DvorakC000+100.204105217:25
10A. DuclairL303+250.53310—16:36
16M. DomiC000+230.15100016:21
36C. FischerR000-120.15200—15:56
8T. RiederL000020.32112—15:45
9C. KellerR000-130.12010—15:33
44K. ConnautonD000010.02000—15:07
11B. PerliniL000000.11100—14:26
39J. HanleyD000-110.02010—12:07
48J. MartinookL000-100.0010010010:54
34Z. RinaldoC000-100.01300007:46
25N. CousinsC000-100.001105005:38
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Raanta(W)32302.9382.30+0.3061:05

Season series

ARI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).