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Flames at Red Wings
NHL

Calgary Flames at Detroit Red Wings

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Calgary Flames
2
Detroit Red Wings
▸8
FinalTV FS-D+, SN·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Calgary Flames 8-2. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 6-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gustav Nyquist's goal at 7:25 of the first period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals were close — CGY 4.0, DET 3.7; shots on goal were CGY 28, DET 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Jon Gillies stopped 9 of 12 (.750), 1.9 goals below expected; Jimmy Howard stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anthony Mantha (2 G, 1 A), 2. Dylan Larkin (1 G, 2 A), 3. Andreas Athanasiou (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    A. Mantha2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DET
    D. Larkin1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    DET
    A. Athanasiou2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY11111007228
DETDET4122827827

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    A. Athanasiou(3)
    Unassisted
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:35
  2. DET
    G. Nyquist(6)
    H. Zetterberg (8), A. Mantha (9)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    7:25
  3. CGY
    M. Ferland(8)PPG
    J. Gaudreau (18), T. Brodie (10)
    wristxG 0.33win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    8:37
  4. DET
    A. Mantha(9)PPG
    A. Athanasiou (2), M. Green (14)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +12 pts
    1-3
    15:44
  5. DET
    D. Larkin(3)SHG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.14win prob +11 pts
    1-4
    17:17

2nd period

  1. DET
    A. Mantha(10)PPG
    F. Nielsen (3), M. Green (15)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +3 pts
    1-5
    4:27
  2. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(8)
    M. Ferland (3), D. Hamilton (6)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +3 pts
    2-5
    12:34
  3. DET
    J. Abdelkader(3)
    D. Larkin (14)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +2 pts
    2-6
    19:16

3rd period

  1. DET
    A. Athanasiou(4)PPG
    D. Larkin (15), M. Green (16)
    wristxG 0.15
    2-7
    16:10
  2. DET
    L. Glendening(4)PPG
    D. Booth (1), N. Jensen (6)
    backhandxG 0.06
    2-8
    18:37

Penalties

CGY 67 PIM·DET 64 PIM

1st

  • 8:13DETGustav Nyquist · High stickingdrawn by Brett Kulak2 min
  • 8:52CGYJohnny Gaudreau · High stickingdrawn by Luke Glendening2 min
  • 14:38CGYMikael Backlund · Interferencedrawn by Tomas Tatar2 min
  • 17:01DETLuke Witkowski · Cross checkingdrawn by Micheal Ferland2 min

2nd

  • 4:21CGYMikael Backlund · Trippingdrawn by Henrik Zetterberg2 min
  • 15:50DETJustin Abdelkader · Hookingdrawn by Mark Giordano2 min

3rd

  • 4:41DETJimmy Howard · Slashingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 14:04CGYBrett Kulak · Fightingdrawn by Luke Witkowski5 min
  • 14:04DETLuke Witkowski · Fightingdrawn by Brett Kulak5 min
  • 14:04DETLuke Witkowski · Game misconduct10 min
  • 14:04DETLuke Witkowski · Misconduct10 min
  • 14:04CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Game misconduct10 min
  • 14:04CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Spearingdrawn by Luke Witkowski5 min
  • 14:04CGYTravis Hamonic · Fightingdrawn by Anthony Mantha5 min
  • 14:04CGYTravis Hamonic · Game misconduct10 min
  • 14:04DETJimmy Howard · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Jon Gillies2 min
  • 14:04DETAnthony Mantha · Fightingdrawn by Travis Hamonic5 min
  • 14:04DETAnthony Mantha · Game misconduct10 min
  • 14:04DETAnthony Mantha · Game misconduct10 min
  • 14:04CGYJon Gillies · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 15:17CGYMikael Backlund · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 15:17CGYMikael Backlund · Game misconduct10 min
  • 16:10CGYTroy Brouwer · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:55DETJonathan Ericsson · Roughingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 19:55DETJonathan Ericsson · Roughingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 19:55CGYSam Bennett · High stickingdrawn by Jonathan Ericsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalCGY goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Gustav Nyquist, 1st 7:25 — DET 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Abdelkader · Missed · xG 0.77A. Mantha · Goal · xG 0.25G. Nyquist · Goal · xG 0.21A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.18L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.16A. Athanasiou · Goal · xG 0.15D. Larkin · Goal · xG 0.14N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.13A. Athanasiou · Goal · xG 0.13F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.13A. Mantha · Goal · xG 0.12F. Nielsen · Missed · xG 0.11A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.11D. Booth · On goal · xG 0.10A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.10T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.10T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.10D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.09J. Abdelkader · Goal · xG 0.09L. Witkowski · Missed · xG 0.07F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.07L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.06L. Glendening · Goal · xG 0.06J. Abdelkader · On goal · xG 0.06M. Green · On goal · xG 0.05J. Abdelkader · On goal · xG 0.04M. Green · On goal · xG 0.03M. Green · Missed · xG 0.02A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.02L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.02T. Daley · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kronwall · Missed · xG 0.02A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.02J. Ericsson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.01G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.01X. Ouellet · On goal · xG 0.00
DET8 G · 3.7 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsDET
4.02 G
All situations
8 G3.7
2.61 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
1.41 G
Power play
4 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY63%37%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.76 – 2.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsDET
28
Shots on goal
27
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/5
Power play
4/6
67
Penalty minutes
64
13
Hits
11
8
Blocked shots
16
8
Giveaways
5
1
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5M. GiordanoD000+110.14120—24:22
27D. HamiltonD011+130.31200—23:47
7T. BrodieD011-400.04000—21:27
13J. GaudreauL112-140.60002—18:23
23S. MonahanC000020.470004818:18
26M. StoneD000020.05010—16:48
79M. FerlandL112030.63110—16:34
24T. HamonicD000-310.020115—15:54
11M. BacklundC000-120.1710164015:49
77M. JankowskiL000-120.381103615:19
67M. FrolikR000-120.32010—14:57
61B. KulakD000000.00315—14:11
19M. TkachukL000-100.002015—14:02
93S. BennettC000-110.13002013:30
36T. BrouwerR000-110.17001010012:26
68J. JagrR000-130.40000—12:25
20C. LazarC000-100.162005011:56
10K. VersteegR000-110.010005010:47
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Gillies1293.7501.14-1.8634:53
31E. Lack(L)15105.6671.84-3.1624:27

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).