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Vancouver Canucks at Anaheim Ducks

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Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-1. The Canucks scored first; the Ducks answered. The Ducks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brandon Montour's goal at 16:58 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 58% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.3 to 1.4; shots on goal were VAN 20, ANA 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 0.7 goals below expected; Ryan Miller stopped 13 of 14 (.929). Three stars: 1. Jakob Silfverberg (2 G), 2. Rickard Rakell (3 A), 3. Hampus Lindholm (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    J. Silfverberg2 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    R. Rakell3 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    H. Lindholm1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN160509120
ANAANA11618211435

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    12:12
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    17:11

2nd period

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    16:58

3rd period

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.18win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    0:30
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.23win prob +6 pts
    1-4
    1:05

Penalties

VAN 27 PIM·ANA 15 PIM

1st

  • 4:54VANDerrick Pouliot · High stickingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min
  • 15:07VANMichael Del Zotto · Hookingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min
  • 16:41VANDerek Dorsett · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min

2nd

  • 6:38ANABrandon Montour · Interferencedrawn by Brendan Gaunce2 min
  • 16:17VANSam Gagner · Trippingdrawn by Logan Shaw2 min
  • 19:00VANBen Hutton · Holdingdrawn by Logan Shaw2 min

3rd

  • 4:14ANASami Vatanen · Trippingdrawn by Sven Baertschi2 min
  • 7:58ANAHampus Lindholm · Hookingdrawn by Brock Boeser2 min
  • 8:34ANAJosh Manson · Fightingdrawn by Derek Dorsett5 min
  • 8:34VANDerek Dorsett · Instigatordrawn by Josh Manson2 min
  • 8:34VANDerek Dorsett · Fightingdrawn by Josh Manson5 min
  • 8:34VANDerek Dorsett · Misconduct10 min
  • 11:51ANASami Vatanen · Hookingdrawn by Brock Boeser2 min
  • 15:37ANAKevin Bieksa · Hookingdrawn by Sam Gagner2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalVAN goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Brandon Montour, 2nd 16:58 — ANA 58% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Silfverberg · Goal · xG 0.23J. Silfverberg · Goal · xG 0.18B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.17A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.16C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.16B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.15A. Vermette · Missed · xG 0.14A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.13N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.13S. Vatanen · Missed · xG 0.12D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.10B. Montour · Goal · xG 0.10C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.10C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.09A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.08N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.08D. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.07J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.07R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.07R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.06J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.06L. Shaw · Missed · xG 0.06A. Vermette · On goal · xG 0.05L. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.05H. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.05F. Beauchemin · Missed · xG 0.05N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.05L. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.04R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.04F. Beauchemin · Missed · xG 0.04K. Kossila · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.03H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.03A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.03C. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.02N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.02D. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02K. Roy · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.01S. Vatanen · Missed · xG 0.01K. Roy · Missed · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01F. Beauchemin · On goal · xG 0.01K. Roy · Missed · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.01L. Shaw · Missed · xG 0.01L. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.00H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.00C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.00C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.00S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.00J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA4 G · 3.3 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsANA
1.41 G
All situations
4 G3.3
0.71 G
Even strength
1 G2.3
0.60 G
Power play
3 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN18%82%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.36 – 3.28

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsANA
20
Shots on goal
35
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/5
Power play
3/6
27
Penalty minutes
15
11
Hits
10
15
Blocked shots
12
13
Giveaways
11
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. Del ZottoD000-110.01102—22:07
5D. PouliotD000-130.10022—20:55
27B. HuttonD000000.00022—20:52
23A. EdlerD000+100.00230—19:20
53B. HorvatC000030.200007118:35
44E. GudbransonD000020.03110—18:16
6B. BoeserR000000.00000—16:37
47S. BaertschiL101010.11000—16:31
20B. SutterC000010.111004716:02
89S. GagnerC000030.121124015:00
55A. BiegaD000+110.10430—14:37
33H. SedinC000000.000001814:17
60M. GranlundC000020.070205014:12
22D. SedinL000000.11000—14:10
26T. VanekL000020.30000—13:38
15D. DorsettR000010.050119—13:35
18J. VirtanenR000000.04100—11:20
50B. GaunceC000000.00000011:15
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(L)35314.8863.29-0.7160:00

Season series

ANA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).