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Predators at Blue Jackets
NHL

Nashville Predators at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸3
Columbus Blue Jackets
1
FinalTV FS-O, FS-TN·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 3-1. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Calle Jarnkrok's goal at 14:25 of the third period, which took the Predators' chances from 48% to 87%. Expected goals were close — NSH 2.4, CBJ 2.6; shots on goal were NSH 29, CBJ 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Pekka Rinne stopped 35 of 36 (.972), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Joonas Korpisalo stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Calle Jarnkrok (1 G), 2. Pierre-Luc Dubois (1 G), 3. Pekka Rinne (35 saves, .972).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    C. Jarnkrok1 G
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    P. Dubois1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    P. Rinne35 saves, .972

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH08111210329
CBJCBJ011011114136

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. NSH
    M. Irwin(2)
    V. Arvidsson (3), M. Ekholm (6)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +20 pts
    1-0
    12:36

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    P. Dubois(2)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +27 pts
    1-1
    4:37
  2. NSH
    C. Jarnkrok(2)
    M. Salomaki (1), K. Fiala (7)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +38 pts
    2-1
    14:25
  3. NSH
    V. Arvidsson(6)EN
    M. Salomaki (2)
    wristxG 0.96win prob +6 pts
    3-1
    19:44

Penalties

NSH 8 PIM·CBJ 8 PIM

1st

  • 0:30CBJDavid Savard · Trippingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min
  • 8:57NSHAlexei Emelin · Trippingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min
  • 17:06NSHCalle Jarnkrok · Trippingdrawn by Zach Werenski2 min

2nd

  • 2:11CBJMarkus Nutivaara · Hookingdrawn by Scott Hartnell2 min
  • 8:39CBJJosh Anderson · Slashingdrawn by Yannick Weber2 min

3rd

  • 6:42CBJJack Johnson · Interferencedrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min
  • 9:28NSHAlexei Emelin · Hookingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 14:50NSHFilip Forsberg · Trippingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalNSH goalFinal: CBJ 0%

Biggest swing: Calle Jarnkrok, 3rd 14:25 — NSH 48% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Dubois · Goal · xG 0.23N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.23A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.15A. Wennberg · Missed · xG 0.13P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.10P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.10N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.10A. Wennberg · Missed · xG 0.09Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.09A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.09P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.08R. Murray · Missed · xG 0.08B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.07J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.07A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.06A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.06C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.05J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.05C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.05N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.05S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.04S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.04C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.03O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.03S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.03T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.03S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.02D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.02G. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.02S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.02A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.02S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.02R. Murray · Missed · xG 0.02S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Wennberg · Missed · xG 0.01C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.01O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.01M. Nutivaara · Missed · xG 0.01C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.00S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.00J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.00R. Murray · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ1 G · 2.6 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsCBJ
2.42 G
All situations
1 G2.6
1.02 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH29%71%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.48 – 2.56

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsCBJ
29
Shots on goal
36
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/4
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
19
Hits
22
11
Blocked shots
17
4
Giveaways
4
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD000+130.06120—26:33
14M. EkholmD011+210.04120—25:48
76P. SubbanD000030.18010—23:45
10C. SissonsC000+110.021007018:56
33V. ArvidssonL112+221.08020—18:27
25A. EmelinD000000.00214—18:24
9F. ForsbergL000000.01102—18:02
19C. JarnkrokC101+220.210125016:32
20M. SalomakiR022+230.11210—15:50
17S. HartnellL000000.06100—15:07
92R. JohansenC000010.010005014:12
15C. SmithC000000.02000013:49
22K. FialaL011+110.18000—13:32
51A. WatsonL000-120.19300—12:40
89F. GaudreauC000-120.110105611:00
52M. IrwinD101+160.12200—10:48
7Y. WeberD000010.02100—10:24
55C. McLeodL000010.03400—08:24
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35P. Rinne(W)36351.9722.56+1.5659:47

Season series

NSH leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).