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Minnesota Wild at Boston Bruins

FinalTV FS-N, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Minnesota Wild 5-3. The Wild scored first; the Bruins answered. The Bruins led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sean Kuraly's goal at 5:34 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.3 to 2.1; shots on goal were MIN 27, BOS 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Devan Dubnyk stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.9 goals below expected; Tuukka Rask stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Zdeno Chara (2 A), 2. Frank Vatrano (1 G), 3. Jordan Szwarz (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    Z. Chara2 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    F. Vatrano1 G
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    J. Szwarz2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN11104212327
BOSBOS29215110534

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    backhandxG 0.25win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:53
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    10:23
  3. BOS
    slapxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    12:42

2nd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    5:34
  2. BOS
    slapxG 0.02win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    7:43

3rd period

  1. MIN
    slapxG 0.06win prob +6 pts
    2-4
    1:33
  2. MIN
    E. Staal(5)SHG
    wristxG 0.10win prob +7 pts
    3-4
    15:56
  3. BOS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.73win prob +5 pts
    3-5
    19:03

Penalties

MIN 13 PIM·BOS 7 PIM

1st

  • 12:50MINLuke Kunin · Fightingdrawn by Matt Beleskey5 min
  • 12:50BOSMatt Beleskey · Fightingdrawn by Luke Kunin5 min
  • 12:50MINMathew Dumba · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 19:59MINEric Staal · Hookingdrawn by Sean Kuraly2 min

3rd

  • 3:16BOSKevan Miller · Hookingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 6:32MINMatt Cullen · Slashingdrawn by Kevan Miller2 min
  • 6:55BOSTorey Krug · Ps tripping on breakawaydrawn by Mikko Koivu0 min
  • 15:09MINNino Niederreiter · Roughingdrawn by Sean Kuraly2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalMIN goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Sean Kuraly, 2nd 5:34 — BOS 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Schaller · Goal · xG 0.73D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.26S. Kuraly · Goal · xG 0.17D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.13F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.12D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.12D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.11R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.09T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.08T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.08J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.08T. Schaller · On goal · xG 0.08D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.07M. Beleskey · On goal · xG 0.07A. Czarnik · On goal · xG 0.06P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.06T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.06D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.06A. Czarnik · On goal · xG 0.06P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.06F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.05P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.05J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.05J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.04A. Bjork · Missed · xG 0.04F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.04T. Schaller · On goal · xG 0.04J. DeBrusk · Goal · xG 0.04P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.04S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.03T. Schaller · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Chara · Missed · xG 0.03J. Szwarz · Missed · xG 0.03D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.03R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Chara · Missed · xG 0.02K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.02T. Krug · Goal · xG 0.02B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.02T. Schaller · On goal · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.02C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.01M. Beleskey · On goal · xG 0.01M. Beleskey · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Chara · Missed · xG 0.00
BOS5 G · 3.3 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsBOS
2.13 G
All situations
4 G3.3
1.62 G
Even strength
4 G1.8
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN43%57%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.08 – 2.47

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsBOS
27
Shots on goal
34
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/1
Power play
0/4
13
Penalty minutes
7
37
Hits
24
12
Blocked shots
6
7
Giveaways
12
13
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD011-120.13010—28:02
46J. SpurgeonD011020.09120—26:45
25J. BrodinD000+110.02010—21:20
12E. StaalC101040.382024719:13
24M. DumbaD011-120.06312—19:13
64M. GranlundC101-150.510103319:10
9M. KoivuC000-110.163005018:08
22N. NiederreiterR101-120.352025017:29
27K. QuinceyD000-110.02110—14:19
63T. EnnisR000010.04400—14:03
16J. ZuckerL011020.1610010013:32
26D. WinnikL000-100.000107113:02
17M. FolignoL000000.0070010012:24
7M. CullenC000-100.000326311:53
19L. KuninC000-100.004153311:33
10C. StewartR000-100.00400—11:31
14J. Eriksson EkC000-110.04400011:17
4M. ReillyD000-230.15100—10:49
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Dubnyk(L)24204.8332.06-1.9440:00
32A. Stalock9901.0000.49+0.4918:17

Season series

BOS leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).