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Avalanche at Islanders
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
4
New York Islanders
▸6
FinalTV MSG+, ALT·Barclays Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Colorado Avalanche 6-4. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nathan MacKinnon's goal at 0:40 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 17% to 31%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.5 to 1.8; shots on goal were COL 35, NYI 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Jonathan Bernier stopped 22 of 28 (.786), 4.2 goals below expected; Thomas Greiss stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mathew Barzal (5 A), 2. Nick Leddy (2 G, 1 A), 3. Scott Mayfield (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    M. Barzal5 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    N. Leddy2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    S. Mayfield1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL012211212435
NYINYI2839111628

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    S. Mayfield(2)
    C. de Haan (6), J. Bailey (14)
    tip-inxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:05
  2. NYI
    J. Eberle(3)
    M. Barzal (6), J. Boychuk (4)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    12:58

2nd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(4)
    E. Johnson (4), G. Landeskog (5)
    wristxG 0.34win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    0:40
  2. NYI
    N. Leddy(2)PPG
    M. Barzal (7), J. Tavares (6)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    1-3
    1:33
  3. NYI
    N. Leddy(3)PPG
    J. Bailey (15), M. Barzal (8)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +7 pts
    1-4
    4:24
  4. NYI
    J. Boychuk(1)
    N. Leddy (7), M. Barzal (9)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +4 pts
    1-5
    9:46
  5. COL
    G. Landeskog(5)
    N. MacKinnon (10), T. Barrie (11)
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +3 pts
    2-5
    13:02

3rd period

  1. NYI
    J. Eberle(4)
    M. Barzal (10), S. Mayfield (2)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +2 pts
    2-6
    1:23
  2. COL
    A. Kerfoot(4)
    S. Andrighetto (5), T. Barrie (12)
    wristxG 0.16
    3-6
    19:30
  3. COL
    A. Kerfoot(5)
    S. Andrighetto (6), R. Grimaldi (2)
    wristxG 0.04
    4-6
    19:51

Penalties

COL 9 PIM·NYI 13 PIM

1st

  • 14:06NYIScott Mayfield · Trippingdrawn by Sven Andrighetto2 min

2nd

  • 1:23COLCarl Soderberg · Hookingdrawn by Jordan Eberle2 min
  • 3:56COLAlexander Kerfoot · Slashingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
  • 4:43NYIAndrew Ladd · Hookingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 13:39NYIJosh Bailey · Interferencedrawn by Gabriel Bourque2 min

3rd

  • 5:05NYIScott Mayfield · Fightingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov5 min
  • 5:05COLNikita Zadorov · Fightingdrawn by Scott Mayfield5 min
  • 9:28NYIRyan Pulock · Holdingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalCOL goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Nathan MacKinnon, 2nd 0:40 — COL 17% → 31%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.16J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.15C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.14C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.11J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.10S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.08A. Ladd · On goal · xG 0.08B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.08J. Chimera · On goal · xG 0.07D. Seidenberg · On goal · xG 0.07N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.06J. Boychuk · Missed · xG 0.05J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.05J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ladd · Missed · xG 0.04N. Leddy · Goal · xG 0.03S. Mayfield · Goal · xG 0.03C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.03B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.03C. Clutterbuck · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chimera · On goal · xG 0.02N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.02J. Boychuk · Missed · xG 0.02N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.02J. Boychuk · Goal · xG 0.02N. Leddy · Goal · xG 0.02D. Seidenberg · On goal · xG 0.02J. Boychuk · Missed · xG 0.02N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.02C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.02J. Boychuk · Missed · xG 0.02R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.02J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.01J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.00J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI6 G · 1.8 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsNYI
2.54 G
All situations
6 G1.8
2.14 G
Even strength
4 G1.7
0.40 G
Power play
2 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL64%36%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.46 – 1.75

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsNYI
35
Shots on goal
28
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/4
Power play
2/2
9
Penalty minutes
13
23
Hits
18
16
Blocked shots
17
8
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6E. JohnsonD011050.19120—27:28
4T. BarrieD022+320.07000—25:05
92G. LandeskogL112+130.30110—21:36
96M. RantanenR000+130.230008621:29
29N. MacKinnonC112+170.800005221:21
13A. KerfootC202030.230123020:49
34C. SoderbergC000020.141123320:17
44M. BarberioD000010.01100—18:08
10S. AndrighettoR022040.21100—17:44
64N. YakupovR000-300.00110—16:21
3C. BigrasD000-100.02310—16:10
57G. BourqueL000-110.10120—15:43
16N. ZadorovD000-210.03605—15:29
20R. GrimaldiR011+220.10220—13:49
24A. GreerL000010.0451010013:40
12P. NemethD000000.00030—09:57
14B. ComeauL000000.00010—02:17
9M. DucheneC000-100.0000010001:59
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
45J. Bernier(L)28226.7861.76-4.2460:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).