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Nashville Predators at Los Angeles Kings

Final/OTTV FS-TN, FS-W·STAPLES Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-3 in overtime, Viktor Arvidsson scoring at 4:40. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Viktor Arvidsson's goal at 4:40 of overtime, which took the Predators' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.3 to 1.9; shots on goal were NSH 31, LAK 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 36 of 39 (.923); Darcy Kuemper stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 2.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anze Kopitar (2 A), 2. Alex Iafallo (1 G), 3. Filip Forsberg (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar2 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    A. Iafallo1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NSHNSH2101801013431
LAKLAK0150931302339

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    wristxG 0.15win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    9:12
  2. NSH
    wristxG 0.01win prob +13 pts
    2-0
    10:06

2nd period

  1. NSH
    wristxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    4:47

3rd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.04win prob +8 pts
    3-1
    0:16
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.00win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    5:20
  3. LAK
    slapxG 0.04win prob +28 pts
    3-3
    12:16

Overtime

  1. NSH
    wristxG 0.14win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    4:40

Penalties

NSH 28 PIM·LAK 14 PIM

1st

  • 2:11NSHKevin Fiala · Trippingdrawn by Kurtis MacDermid2 min
  • 4:26NSHAustin Watson · Fightingdrawn by Andy Andreoff5 min
  • 4:26LAKAndy Andreoff · Fightingdrawn by Austin Watson5 min
  • 6:21LAKKurtis MacDermid · Fightingdrawn by Cody McLeod5 min
  • 6:21NSHCody McLeod · Instigatordrawn by Kurtis MacDermid2 min
  • 6:21NSHCody McLeod · Fightingdrawn by Kurtis MacDermid5 min
  • 6:21NSHCody McLeod · Misconductdrawn by Kurtis MacDermid10 min
  • 18:42LAKKurtis MacDermid · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min

2nd

  • 7:05LAKDrew Doughty · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 12:35NSHAlexei Emelin · Clippingdrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min

3rd

  • 11:50NSHP.K. Subban · Hookingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalNSH goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Viktor Arvidsson, OT 4:40 — NSH 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.26A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.24A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.17A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.17K. MacDermid · On goal · xG 0.17T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.14A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.12N. Shore · Missed · xG 0.11A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.11T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.10B. Laich · On goal · xG 0.10M. Cammalleri · On goal · xG 0.09D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.09A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.09M. Cammalleri · On goal · xG 0.08A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.08A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.08T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.08A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.08J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.07T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.07D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.07J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.06A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.06J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.05D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.05A. Martinez · Goal · xG 0.04T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.04A. Iafallo · Goal · xG 0.04A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.04D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.04K. MacDermid · Missed · xG 0.03T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.03T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.03D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.03D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.02T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.02T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.02B. Laich · On goal · xG 0.02T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.02J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.01C. Folin · Missed · xG 0.01D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Folin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.00T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.00B. Laich · On goal · xG 0.00C. Folin · Goal · xG 0.00
LAK3 G · 3.3 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsLAK
1.94 G
All situations
3 G3.3
1.84 G
Even strength
2 G2.6
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH27%73%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.95 – 3.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsLAK
31
Shots on goal
39
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
1/4
28
Penalty minutes
14
14
Hits
15
7
Blocked shots
12
9
Giveaways
10
1
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD000-130.19200—27:09
76P. SubbanD101+210.01002—25:44
14M. EkholmD000-220.02000—24:40
25A. EmelinD000+220.17322—22:35
33V. ArvidssonL101+170.330105020:16
92R. JohansenC011000.001005719:36
10C. SissonsC000+110.090105918:39
19C. JarnkrokC022+110.090004118:00
9F. ForsbergL011+150.41100—17:59
17S. HartnellL011020.16010—17:22
15C. SmithC101+130.19000015:38
20M. SalomakiR101020.22400—15:03
89F. GaudreauC000+100.000106712:27
22K. FialaL000-100.00002—12:18
52M. IrwinD000+100.00100—11:55
51A. WatsonL000020.07105—11:39
7Y. WeberD011+100.00010—11:23
55C. McLeodL000000.001017—05:11
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(W)39363.9233.33+0.3364:40

Season series

NSH leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).