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Predators at Ducks
NHL

Nashville Predators at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸5
Anaheim Ducks
3
FinalTV FS-TN, PRIME·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Anaheim Ducks 5-3. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Roman Josi's goal at 19:11 of the first period, which took the Predators' chances from 62% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.9 to 2.8; shots on goal were NSH 30, ANA 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Pekka Rinne stopped 35 of 38 (.921); John Gibson stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Roman Josi (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jakob Silfverberg (1 G), 3. Chris Wagner (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    R. Josi1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    J. Silfverberg1 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    C. Wagner1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH2829113530
ANAANA012213113338

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    S. Hartnell(4)
    R. Josi (4), P. Aberg (2)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    6:26
  2. NSH
    R. Josi(4)
    C. Sissons (2), F. Gaudreau (1)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    19:11

2nd period

  1. NSH
    M. Irwin(1)
    Y. Weber (1), F. Gaudreau (2)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    3:05
  2. ANA
    A. Vermette(3)
    O. Kase (3), N. Ritchie (3)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +10 pts
    3-1
    4:24
  3. NSH
    V. Arvidsson(4)PPG
    M. Ekholm (5), K. Fiala (6)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +7 pts
    4-1
    17:20
  4. ANA
    H. Lindholm(2)PPG
    R. Rakell (3)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +6 pts
    4-2
    19:45

3rd period

  1. ANA
    J. Silfverberg(2)
    D. Grant (4), C. Wagner (5)
    slapxG 0.29win prob +15 pts
    4-3
    7:41
  2. NSH
    P. Subban(2)EN
    P. Rinne (1), A. Watson (1)
    snapxG 0.48win prob +5 pts
    5-3
    19:42

Penalties

NSH 8 PIM·ANA 8 PIM

1st

  • 0:17ANANick Ritchie · Cross checkingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min
  • 3:55ANAJosh Manson · High stickingdrawn by Matt Irwin2 min
  • 7:54NSHMattias Ekholm · Cross checkingdrawn by Nick Ritchie2 min
  • 12:51NSHFilip Forsberg · Slashingdrawn by Logan Shaw2 min

2nd

  • 11:34NSHRoman Josi · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 12:48ANANick Ritchie · Cross checkingdrawn by Alexei Emelin2 min
  • 16:25ANANick Ritchie · Slashingdrawn by Frederick Gaudreau2 min
  • 19:42NSHMattias Ekholm · Cross checkingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalNSH goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Roman Josi, 1st 19:11 — NSH 62% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Silfverberg · Goal · xG 0.29A. Vermette · Goal · xG 0.17A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.13A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.12C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.12C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.11D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.10N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.10S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.09J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.09A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.08B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.07S. Vatanen · Missed · xG 0.07A. Vermette · On goal · xG 0.07D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.07B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.07L. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.06J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.06O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.06C. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.06J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.05B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.05S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.05B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.05J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.04A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.04A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.04O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.04B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.04O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.04D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.04R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.03H. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.03J. Boll · Missed · xG 0.03J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.02J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.02A. Vermette · On goal · xG 0.02F. Beauchemin · On goal · xG 0.02C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.02F. Beauchemin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.01L. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.01S. Vatanen · Missed · xG 0.01K. Bieksa · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.01C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.00J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.00A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.00O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.00J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.00A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA3 G · 2.8 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsANA
3.94 G
All situations
3 G2.8
1.83 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.81 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 103 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH48%52%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.62 – 2.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsANA
30
Shots on goal
38
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/4
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
19
Hits
25
21
Blocked shots
13
8
Giveaways
16
8
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD112+360.80222—24:06
14M. EkholmD011+100.00114—22:46
76P. SubbanD101-130.62220—22:01
92R. JohansenC000-110.102004020:27
25A. EmelinD000-200.00430—19:08
17S. HartnellL101+120.51120—18:39
10C. SissonsC011+120.090105018:35
33V. ArvidssonL101-120.24110—18:16
9F. ForsbergL000-130.30002—15:25
52M. IrwinD101+220.08110—15:20
51A. WatsonL011+310.39230—15:15
15C. SmithC000-130.27100014:39
19C. JarnkrokC000+210.070205014:20
7Y. WeberD011+110.11010—13:44
89F. GaudreauC022+210.080004512:18
22K. FialaL011-110.22000—11:28
46P. AbergL011+100.0000010009:10
55C. McLeodL000+110.02220—08:39
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35P. Rinne(W)38353.9212.75-0.2559:42

Season series

NSH leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).