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Sharks at Sabres
NHL

San Jose Sharks at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
San Jose Sharks
▸3
Buffalo Sabres
2
FinalTV MSG-B, NBCSCA·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Buffalo Sabres 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Logan Couture's goal at 16:08 of the third period, which took the Sharks' chances from 48% to 89%. Expected goals were close — SJS 2.1, BUF 2.0; shots on goal were SJS 31, BUF 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Aaron Dell stopped 31 of 33 (.939); Robin Lehner stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Logan Couture (1 G), 2. Aaron Dell (31 saves, .939), 3. Jason Pominville (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    L. Couture1 G
  2. ★★
    SJS
    A. Dell31 saves, .939
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    J. Pominville1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS1811617331
BUFBUF011211011233

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    J. Donskoi(3)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.25win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    9:12

2nd period

  1. BUF
    R. O'Reilly(4)PPG
    K. Okposo (2), S. Reinhart (2)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    2:55
  2. BUF
    J. Pominville(6)
    J. Eichel (8), E. Kane (6)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +21 pts
    1-2
    14:51
  3. SJS
    C. Tierney(2)
    M. Karlsson (1), T. Meier (2)
    slapxG 0.17win prob +21 pts
    2-2
    19:48

3rd period

  1. SJS
    L. Couture(8)
    T. Hertl (4), J. Braun (4)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +41 pts
    3-2
    16:08

Penalties

SJS 10 PIM·BUF 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:03BUFSam Reinhart · Trippingdrawn by Chris Tierney2 min
  • 7:03SJSJoonas Donskoi · Slashingdrawn by Marco Scandella2 min
  • 12:37SJSTimo Meier · Trippingdrawn by Johan Larsson2 min
  • 16:54SJSJoonas Donskoi · Hookingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min

2nd

  • 1:30SJSJoel Ward · Hookingdrawn by Justin Bailey2 min
  • 9:42BUFVictor Antipin · Interferencedrawn by Joe Pavelski2 min
  • 17:45BUFEvander Kane · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Labanc2 min

3rd

  • 12:21SJSLogan Couture · Interferencedrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalSJS goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Logan Couture, 3rd 16:08 — SJS 48% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.16J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.14K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.11K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.11R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.10J. Pominville · On goal · xG 0.10J. Nolan · On goal · xG 0.10J. Nolan · On goal · xG 0.08K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.08J. Pominville · Goal · xG 0.08E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.07S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.06B. Pouliot · Missed · xG 0.06J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.06R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.05E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.05M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.05J. McCabe · Missed · xG 0.04J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.04E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03M. Tennyson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.03J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.02K. Okposo · Missed · xG 0.02V. Antipin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Redmond · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pouliot · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pouliot · On goal · xG 0.00R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF2 G · 2.0 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsBUF
2.13 G
All situations
2 G2.0
1.73 G
Even strength
1 G1.1
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS54%46%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.13 – 1.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsBUF
31
Shots on goal
33
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/3
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
15
Hits
16
17
Blocked shots
10
6
Giveaways
10
1
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. VlasicD000+210.00010—27:11
61J. BraunD011000.00540—23:20
88B. BurnsD000040.09200—23:02
48T. HertlC011+200.002005619:36
39L. CoutureC101+220.16042017:45
8J. PavelskiC000-120.312107516:50
19J. ThorntonC000-110.030106316:37
50C. TierneyC101+120.340104316:00
62K. LabancR000-150.36000—15:44
47J. RyanD000030.17010—15:18
4B. DillonD000+140.06110—15:15
68M. KarlssonC011+210.04100014:40
27J. DonskoiR101+130.48004—14:16
72T. HeedD000+100.00000—12:36
89M. BoedkerL000010.0100010012:15
42J. WardR000000.00102—11:19
28T. MeierR011+110.07022—09:50
40R. CarpenterC000010.041102509:09
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30A. Dell(W)33312.9391.95-0.0559:52

Season series

SJS leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).