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Anaheim Ducks at Florida Panthers

FinalTV FS-F, KCOP-13·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Anaheim Ducks 8-3. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 6-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Owen Tippett's goal at 4:23 of the first period, which took the Panthers' chances from 66% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 2.4 to 2.1; shots on goal were ANA 34, FLA 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. John Gibson stopped 11 of 17 (.647), 4.5 goals below expected; James Reimer stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Radim Vrbata (3 G), 2. Owen Tippett (1 G), 3. Vincent Trocheck (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    R. Vrbata3 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    O. Tippett1 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    V. Trocheck1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA19012213334
FLAFLA383925822

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    snapxG 0.09win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:04
  2. FLA
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    4:23
  3. ANA
    slapxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    6:24
  4. FLA
    R. Vrbata(2)PPG
    snapxG 0.20win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    17:24

2nd period

  1. FLA
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    4:03
  2. FLA
    snapxG 0.10win prob +4 pts
    1-5
    8:27
  3. FLA
    A. Barkov(3)SHG
    slapxG 0.26win prob +1 pts
    1-6
    15:37

3rd period

  1. ANA
    slapxG 0.10
    2-6
    2:18
  2. FLA
    slapxG 0.16
    2-7
    8:39
  3. ANA
    slapxG 0.08
    3-7
    10:46
  4. FLA
    snapxG 0.20
    3-8
    17:19

Penalties

ANA 11 PIM·FLA 11 PIM

1st

  • 1:29FLAAlexander Petrovic · Roughingdrawn by Nick Ritchie2 min
  • 15:53ANAJosh Manson · High stickingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min
  • 18:41ANAJosh Manson · Fightingdrawn by Micheal Haley5 min
  • 18:41FLAMicheal Haley · Fightingdrawn by Josh Manson5 min

2nd

  • 11:07FLAMicheal Haley · Hookingdrawn by Chris Wagner2 min
  • 13:59FLAIan McCoshen · Hookingdrawn by Chris Wagner2 min
  • 18:47ANAChris Wagner · Holdingdrawn by Mark Pysyk2 min

3rd

  • 11:24ANACorey Perry · Interferencedrawn by James Reimer2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalANA goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Owen Tippett, 1st 4:23 — FLA 66% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.26E. Dadonov · Goal · xG 0.20R. Vrbata · Goal · xG 0.20J. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.19E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.17R. Vrbata · Goal · xG 0.16O. Tippett · Goal · xG 0.13E. Dadonov · Goal · xG 0.10A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.09R. Vrbata · Goal · xG 0.09R. Vrbata · On goal · xG 0.08V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.06C. Brickley · Missed · xG 0.06R. Vrbata · On goal · xG 0.06J. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.03R. Vrbata · On goal · xG 0.03K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.03J. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02C. Brickley · On goal · xG 0.01J. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.01K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pysyk · Missed · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01A. Petrovic · On goal · xG 0.01E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.00
FLA8 G · 2.1 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsFLA
2.43 G
All situations
8 G2.1
1.43 G
Even strength
6 G1.3
0.80 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.20 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA55%45%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.39 – 2.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsFLA
34
Shots on goal
22
62%
Faceoffs
38%
0/3
Power play
1/3
11
Penalty minutes
11
21
Hits
12
3
Blocked shots
11
14
Giveaways
20
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26B. MontourD000-120.06000—25:57
23F. BeaucheminD000-230.20410—22:36
67R. RakellR000-210.210006718:32
15R. GetzlafC000-120.132003318:28
75J. MegnaD000-200.05010—18:17
10C. PerryR000-200.07102—17:43
42J. MansonD000-120.05207—17:15
47H. LindholmD000-120.09000—17:06
25O. KaseR000-310.10000—16:44
50A. VermetteC011-100.002008815:11
37N. RitchieL000-420.204005015:09
5K. HolzerD000-110.06110—14:23
33J. SilfverbergR011-130.28000—14:16
7A. CoglianoC101050.2810010014:11
48L. ShawR112+210.08000—12:53
21C. WagnerR022+260.332024012:18
38D. GrantC011-110.051004312:14
83K. KossilaC101020.191006311:44
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(L)17116.6471.48-4.5240:00
1R. Berra532.6000.63-1.3719:43

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).