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Panthers at Canadiens
NHL

Florida Panthers at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV FS-F, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Florida Panthers 5-1. The Panthers scored first; the Canadiens answered. The Canadiens led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Shea Weber's goal at 18:02 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 56% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 2.1 to 1.8; shots on goal were FLA 27, MTL 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. James Reimer stopped 32 of 37 (.865), 2.9 goals below expected; Carey Price stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Shea Weber (2 G), 2. Carey Price (26 saves, .963), 3. Jonathan Drouin (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    S. Weber2 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    C. Price26 saves, .963
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Drouin2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA01116010127
MTLMTL011315211537

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    0:20
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    16:44
  3. MTL
    S. Weber(2)PPG
    slapxG 0.04win prob +18 pts
    1-2
    18:02
  4. MTL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    18:19

3rd period

  1. MTL
    slapxG 0.02win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    9:11
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.12win prob +1 pts
    1-5
    11:06

Penalties

FLA 8 PIM·MTL 4 PIM

2nd

  • 4:13MTLMichael McCarron · Interferencedrawn by Derek MacKenzie2 min
  • 7:07FLAMike Matheson · Slashingdrawn by Paul Byron2 min
  • 11:09FLAKeith Yandle · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 15:44FLARadim Vrbata · Holdingdrawn by Nikita Scherbak2 min
  • 17:20FLAMike Matheson · Slashingdrawn by Tomas Plekanec2 min

3rd

  • 13:39MTLTomas Plekanec · Hookingdrawn by Jamie McGinn2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalFLA goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Shea Weber, 2nd 18:02 — MTL 56% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.16A. Galchenyuk · Goal · xG 0.15M. Pacioretty · Goal · xG 0.12B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.11A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.10C. Hudon · Missed · xG 0.10J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.10P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.09B. Gallagher · Goal · xG 0.08P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.08J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.08M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.07M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.07S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.05A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.05V. Mete · Missed · xG 0.04B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.04J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.04C. Hudon · On goal · xG 0.04S. Weber · Goal · xG 0.04S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.04P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.03J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.03C. Hudon · On goal · xG 0.03S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.02P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.02S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.02A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.02S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02S. Weber · Goal · xG 0.02V. Mete · On goal · xG 0.02B. Davidson · Missed · xG 0.01S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.01B. Davidson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.01C. Hudon · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01B. Davidson · On goal · xG 0.01V. Mete · On goal · xG 0.01T. Plekanec · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01B. Davidson · On goal · xG 0.00S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL5 G · 2.1 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsMTL
1.81 G
All situations
5 G2.1
1.61 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.20 G
Power play
2 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA45%55%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.81 – 2.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsMTL
27
Shots on goal
37
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/2
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
35
Hits
24
23
Blocked shots
12
20
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD000030.19100—24:34
3K. YandleD101010.07002—22:23
16A. BarkovC011-130.330204819:26
13M. PysykD000-200.00230—19:09
19M. MathesonD000-100.00124—18:20
11J. HuberdeauL011-150.36010—17:48
12I. McCoshenD000-100.00410—17:23
21V. TrocheckC000010.062103116:27
63E. DadonovL000-120.14110—16:20
23C. BrickleyL000000.002205015:44
52M. WeegarD000020.03440—15:16
27N. BjugstadC000010.084105714:56
62D. MalginC000-130.182006314:07
71R. VrbataR000010.06102—13:42
88J. McGinnL000-110.11210—13:28
74O. TippettR000-110.05120—13:18
17D. MacKenzieC000010.027002912:03
18M. HaleyL000020.1412010009:54
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Reimer(L)37325.8652.08-2.9260:00

Season series

FLA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).