Florida Panthers at Montréal Canadiens
Recap
written from the game dataThe Montréal Canadiens beat the Florida Panthers 5-1. The Panthers scored first; the Canadiens answered. The Canadiens led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Shea Weber's goal at 18:02 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 56% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 2.1 to 1.8; shots on goal were FLA 27, MTL 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. James Reimer stopped 32 of 37 (.865), 2.9 goals below expected; Carey Price stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Shea Weber (2 G), 2. Carey Price (26 saves, .963), 3. Jonathan Drouin (2 A).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals2nd period
1-00:20
1-116:44
1-218:02
1-318:19
3rd period
1-49:11
1-511:06
Penalties
2nd
- 4:13
Michael McCarron · Interferencedrawn by Derek MacKenzie2 min
- 7:07
Mike Matheson · Slashingdrawn by Paul Byron2 min
- 11:09
Keith Yandle · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 15:44
Radim Vrbata · Holdingdrawn by Nikita Scherbak2 min
- 17:20
Mike Matheson · Slashingdrawn by Tomas Plekanec2 min
3rd
- 13:39
Tomas Plekanec · Hookingdrawn by Jamie McGinn2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Shea Weber, 2nd 18:02 — 56% → 75%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.81 G
- All situations
- 5 G2.1
- 1.61 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.5
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 2 G0.6
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.81 – 2.05
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 27
- Shots on goal
- 37
- 46%
- Faceoffs
- 54%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 2/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 35
- Hits
- 24
- 23
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 20
- Giveaways
- 11
- 4
- Takeaways
- 9
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
