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Edmonton Oilers at Chicago Blackhawks

Final/OTTV WGN, SN1·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Chicago Blackhawks 2-1 in overtime, Mark Letestu scoring at 4:44. The Blackhawks scored first; the Oilers answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Letestu's goal at 4:44 of overtime, which took the Oilers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.0 to 2.7; shots on goal were EDM 42, CHI 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Anton Forsberg stopped 40 of 42 (.952), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cam Talbot (30 saves, .968), 2. Connor McDavid (2 A), 3. Mark Letestu (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. Talbot30 saves, .968
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    M. Letestu1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
EDMEDM1901401415242
CHICHI1701001103131

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    7:33
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    17:18

Overtime

  1. EDM
    slapxG 0.13win prob +51 pts
    2-1
    4:44

Penalties

EDM 10 PIM·CHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 5:31EDMCam Talbot · Delaying game illegal play by goalie2 min

2nd

  • 0:09EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Trippingdrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min
  • 1:13EDMDarnell Nurse · Cross checkingdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min
  • 4:59EDMZack Kassian · Boardingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 9:09CHIBrent Seabrook · Interferencedrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min

3rd

  • 3:30EDMIiro Pakarinen · Boardingdrawn by John Hayden2 min

OT

  • 3:45CHIPatrick Kane · Hookingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalEDM goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Mark Letestu, OT 4:44 — EDM 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.18J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.16P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.16R. Panik · Missed · xG 0.14D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.13J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.13J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.12P. Sharp · On goal · xG 0.10P. Sharp · Missed · xG 0.10A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.09A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.09J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.08P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.08J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.07P. Sharp · On goal · xG 0.07P. Sharp · On goal · xG 0.06R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.06B. Seabrook · On goal · xG 0.06B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.06P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.06J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.05L. Bouma · Missed · xG 0.05A. Anisimov · Missed · xG 0.04J. Hayden · On goal · xG 0.04D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kane · Goal · xG 0.04D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.04R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.03D. Keith · Missed · xG 0.03P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.02J. Rutta · Missed · xG 0.02J. Rutta · Missed · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.02R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oesterle · Missed · xG 0.01L. Bouma · On goal · xG 0.01B. Seabrook · On goal · xG 0.01L. Bouma · Missed · xG 0.01J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.00J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI1 G · 2.7 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsCHI
3.02 G
All situations
1 G2.7
2.51 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.51 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM55%45%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.94 – 2.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsCHI
42
Shots on goal
31
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/2
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
32
Hits
24
23
Blocked shots
12
9
Giveaways
9
11
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77O. KlefbomD011030.16150—26:27
97C. McDavidC022030.421203824:36
6A. LarssonD000040.06330—23:41
25D. NurseD000050.41122—21:58
4K. RussellD000000.01230—21:33
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000020.160127521:15
56K. YamamotoR011+180.93010—17:53
55M. LetestuC101020.170105817:35
19P. MaroonL101+120.145005017:18
62E. GrybaD000000.00400—15:46
81Y. AuvituD000040.06020—13:46
27M. LucicL000000.00500—13:07
18R. StromeC000030.1700010012:51
44Z. KassianR000000.0020210012:38
58A. SlepyshevL000-110.02210—12:14
36J. JokinenL000-110.01110—11:35
26I. PakarinenR000000.00102—11:27
24B. MaloneC000040.314105609:56
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(W)31301.9682.67+1.6764:23

Season series

CHI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).