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Sabres at Ducks
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
▸3
Anaheim Ducks
1
FinalTV PRIME, MSG-B·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-1. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. The Sabres led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Reinhart's goal at 19:28 of the second period, which took the Sabres' chances from 47% to 71%. Expected goals were close — BUF 2.3, ANA 2.1; shots on goal were BUF 31, ANA 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Chad Johnson stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.1 goals saved above expected; John Gibson stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jack Eichel, 2. Chris Wagner (1 G), 3. Chad Johnson (25 saves, .962).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    J. Eichel
  2. ★★
    ANA
    C. Wagner1 G
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    C. Johnson25 saves, .962

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF11311117331
ANAANA0711009126

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    J. Bailey(1)
    N. Beaulieu (1), J. Larsson (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    1:26

2nd period

  1. ANA
    C. Wagner(1)SHG
    A. Vermette (1), J. Manson (4)
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +23 pts
    1-1
    15:50
  2. BUF
    S. Reinhart(1)
    B. Pouliot (1)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +24 pts
    2-1
    19:28

3rd period

  1. BUF
    J. Larsson(1)EN
    R. O'Reilly (2)
    slapxG 0.39win prob +5 pts
    3-1
    19:36

Penalties

BUF 8 PIM·ANA 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:38BUFEvander Kane · Elbowingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min
  • 10:04ANARickard Rakell · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Chad Johnson2 min
  • 17:32BUFJosh Gorges · Holdingdrawn by Logan Shaw2 min
  • 19:51ANAAntoine Vermette · Trippingdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min

2nd

  • 0:53BUFEvander Kane · Slashingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min
  • 11:51BUFEvander Kane · Slashingdrawn by John Gibson2 min
  • 14:02ANACorey Perry · Slashingdrawn by Josh Gorges2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalBUF goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Sam Reinhart, 2nd 19:28 — BUF 47% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Vermette · On goal · xG 0.20C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.18C. Wagner · Goal · xG 0.15B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.14N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.14C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.12K. Bieksa · Missed · xG 0.11L. Shaw · Missed · xG 0.10F. Beauchemin · On goal · xG 0.10C. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.08L. Shaw · Missed · xG 0.06N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.05N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.05N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.05C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.04C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.04J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.04A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.04D. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.03C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.03K. Bieksa · Missed · xG 0.03F. Beauchemin · On goal · xG 0.03L. Shaw · Missed · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02J. Megna · Missed · xG 0.02C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.02F. Beauchemin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.02C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.01R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.01N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Megna · Missed · xG 0.01K. Bieksa · On goal · xG 0.01K. Bieksa · On goal · xG 0.01F. Beauchemin · Missed · xG 0.01C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.01R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.00N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA1 G · 2.1 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsANA
2.32 G
All situations
1 G2.1
1.12 G
Even strength
0 G1.3
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF34%66%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.29 – 2.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsANA
31
Shots on goal
26
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/3
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
17
Hits
27
15
Blocked shots
15
3
Giveaways
11
2
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55R. RistolainenD000020.04310—26:50
6M. ScandellaD000+120.03130—22:49
90R. O'ReillyC011+110.000104621:30
9E. KaneL000-140.28106—21:15
15J. EichelC000030.640005020:38
19J. McCabeD000+100.03240—19:34
5M. TennysonD000+110.07000—18:19
28Z. GirgensonsC000+100.0130010018:15
23S. ReinhartC101030.28000017:30
29J. PominvilleR000020.080005016:37
22J. LarssonL112+250.453005515:53
82N. BeaulieuD011+120.02330—15:06
4J. GorgesD000+110.01112—14:09
67B. PouliotL011+100.000105012:59
95J. BaileyR101+130.23000—09:39
26M. MoulsonL000010.06000—07:32
10J. JosefsonC000000.000105007:18
17J. NolanC000010.01000006:14
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31C. Johnson(W)26251.9622.06+1.0659:53

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).