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Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV CBC·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-2. The Oilers scored first; the Canucks answered. The Canucks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bo Horvat's goal at 0:32 of the second period, which took the Canucks' chances from 69% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.3 to 2.9; shots on goal were EDM 35, VAN 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Laurent Brossoit stopped 19 of 19 (1.000), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Bo Horvat (2 G), 2. Kris Russell (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jacob Markstrom (33 saves, .943).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    B. Horvat2 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    K. Russell1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    J. Markstrom33 saves, .943

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM11308114235
VANVAN2611208326

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    1:08
  2. VAN
    B. Horvat(1)PPG
    wristxG 0.14win prob +9 pts
    1-1
    7:35
  3. VAN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    9:29

2nd period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    0:32

3rd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.20win prob +13 pts
    2-3
    8:09

Penalties

EDM 19 PIM·VAN 15 PIM

1st

  • 4:46VANserved by T. Vanek · Bench2 min
  • 7:15EDMAdam Larsson · Interferencedrawn by Henrik Sedin2 min
  • 10:18EDMPatrick Maroon · Trippingdrawn by Sven Baertschi2 min
  • 11:03VANAlexander Edler · Slashingdrawn by Adam Larsson2 min
  • 15:48EDMDarnell Nurse · Slashingdrawn by Jake Virtanen2 min

2nd

  • 2:49EDMJussi Jokinen · Slashingdrawn by Sam Gagner2 min
  • 13:42EDMOscar Klefbom · Trippingdrawn by Derek Dorsett2 min
  • 14:30VANSam Gagner · Clippingdrawn by Zack Kassian2 min
  • 18:13EDMRyan Strome · Fightingdrawn by Troy Stecher5 min
  • 18:13VANTroy Stecher · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Strome5 min
  • 20:00EDMConnor McDavid · Slashingdrawn by Sven Baertschi2 min

3rd

  • 6:14VANTroy Stecher · Hookingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 11:47EDMEric Gryba · Holdingdrawn by Jake Virtanen2 min
  • 14:07VANBrandon Sutter · High stickingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalEDM goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: Bo Horvat, 2nd 0:32 — VAN 69% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Baertschi · On goal · xG 0.25M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.24A. Burmistrov · On goal · xG 0.17S. Gagner · Missed · xG 0.16S. Baertschi · On goal · xG 0.15B. Horvat · Goal · xG 0.14H. Sedin · Missed · xG 0.13T. Vanek · On goal · xG 0.13L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.12B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.12B. Horvat · Goal · xG 0.11T. Vanek · On goal · xG 0.10B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.10D. Sedin · On goal · xG 0.10S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.09B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.09B. Sutter · Goal · xG 0.08S. Baertschi · Missed · xG 0.07T. Vanek · Missed · xG 0.06J. Virtanen · Missed · xG 0.05D. Sedin · Missed · xG 0.05M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.05S. Gagner · Missed · xG 0.04B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.04B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.03B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.03C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.03M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.03T. Vanek · On goal · xG 0.03A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.03A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.03D. Dorsett · Missed · xG 0.02M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.01D. Sedin · On goal · xG 0.01C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN3 G · 2.9 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsVAN
3.32 G
All situations
3 G2.9
2.21 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
1.01 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM56%44%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.26 – 2.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsVAN
35
Shots on goal
26
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/5
Power play
1/7
19
Penalty minutes
15
26
Hits
16
7
Blocked shots
15
2
Giveaways
4
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77O. KlefbomD000-220.17132—25:45
97C. McDavidC000-120.301025024:38
6A. LarssonD000-130.19302—24:25
29L. DraisaitlC000-140.601004721:56
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC101+140.490105519:31
25D. NurseD000040.27212—18:46
19P. MaroonL011-120.19302—18:18
4K. RussellD112020.13000—17:52
27M. LucicL011+130.27210—15:41
44Z. KassianR011+110.21200—15:35
55M. LetestuC000030.283003814:12
83M. BenningD000+110.01100—14:00
91D. CaggiulaL000-120.06100—13:55
62E. GrybaD000010.07302—12:35
36J. JokinenL000-110.031123310:54
18R. StromeC000-100.002055610:01
26I. PakarinenR000000.02000—06:08
16J. KhairaL000000.00000—05:00
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Brossoit191901.0002.06+2.0637:56
33C. Talbot(L)743.5710.89-2.1120:32

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).