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Jets at Flames
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
3
Calgary Flames
▸6
FinalTV SN1, CITY·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Winnipeg Jets 6-3. The Flames came back from two goals down. The Flames led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Johnny Gaudreau's goal at 17:02 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.5 to 2.3; shots on goal were WPG 28, CGY 45. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Steve Mason stopped 39 of 45 (.867), 2.5 goals below expected; Mike Smith stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. TJ Brodie (2 G, 2 A), 2. Johnny Gaudreau (1 G, 3 A), 3. Curtis Lazar (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    T. Brodie2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    J. Gaudreau1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    C. Lazar1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG31101205328
CGYCGY115413117645

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    B. Tanev(1)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.23win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    8:35
  2. CGY
    T. Brodie(1)PPG
    J. Gaudreau (1), K. Versteeg (1)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    10:08
  3. WPG
    M. Scheifele(2)PPG
    B. Wheeler (1), M. Perreault (1)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +11 pts
    2-1
    12:12
  4. WPG
    P. Laine(1)
    M. Perreault (2), J. Morrissey (1)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    15:54

2nd period

  1. CGY
    T. Brodie(2)
    M. Stone (1), J. Gaudreau (2)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    8:42
  2. CGY
    M. Ferland(1)PPG
    M. Giordano (1), J. Gaudreau (3)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    3-3
    12:42
  3. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(1)
    T. Brodie (1), C. Lazar (1)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +22 pts
    3-4
    17:02
  4. CGY
    K. Versteeg(1)
    S. Monahan (1), T. Brodie (2)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    3-5
    18:38

3rd period

  1. CGY
    M. Backlund(1)
    D. Hamilton (1), M. Tkachuk (1)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +6 pts
    3-6
    0:16

Penalties

WPG 12 PIM·CGY 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:11WPGDmitry Kulikov · Trippingdrawn by Michael Frolik2 min
  • 11:32CGYSam Bennett · Trippingdrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min

2nd

  • 0:36WPGToby Enstrom · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 6:19CGYMark Giordano · Interferencedrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min
  • 9:17CGYMark Giordano · Trippingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 11:33WPGShawn Matthias · Hookingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min

3rd

  • 9:59WPGBrandon Tanev · Cross checkingdrawn by Troy Brouwer2 min
  • 14:01WPGTyler Myers · Slashingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 18:10WPGJacob Trouba · Slashingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalWPG goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Johnny Gaudreau, 2nd 17:02 — CGY 53% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.27S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.23T. Glass · On goal · xG 0.19K. Versteeg · Goal · xG 0.15M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.14S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.14M. Stajan · On goal · xG 0.14T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.13C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.13J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.11M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.10J. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.08S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.08M. Bartkowski · On goal · xG 0.08M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.08M. Frolik · Missed · xG 0.07S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.07C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.07J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.06M. Ferland · Goal · xG 0.06M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.06M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.06T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.06J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.06T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.05C. Lazar · Missed · xG 0.05M. Backlund · Goal · xG 0.05T. Brodie · Goal · xG 0.05M. Stajan · On goal · xG 0.05M. Stajan · On goal · xG 0.04M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.04K. Versteeg · On goal · xG 0.04T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.04M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.04K. Versteeg · On goal · xG 0.04J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.03S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03K. Versteeg · Missed · xG 0.03M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.02M. Frolik · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02T. Brodie · Goal · xG 0.02M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.01M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.01K. Versteeg · On goal · xG 0.01M. Frolik · Missed · xG 0.01M. Bartkowski · On goal · xG 0.01T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.01M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.01K. Versteeg · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY6 G · 3.5 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsCGY
2.33 G
All situations
6 G3.5
1.51 G
Even strength
4 G2.5
0.61 G
Power play
2 G0.9
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG32%68%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.33 – 3.40

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsCGY
28
Shots on goal
45
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/3
Power play
2/6
12
Penalty minutes
6
11
Hits
15
21
Blocked shots
10
4
Giveaways
7
10
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33D. ByfuglienD000-110.03120—25:02
57T. MyersD000000.00002—21:22
44J. MorrisseyD011010.00130—20:44
26B. WheelerR011-170.40000—19:37
39T. EnstromD000-110.03022—18:24
55M. ScheifeleC101-130.350205418:19
8J. TroubaD000-130.14042—17:33
17A. LowryC000000.002105517:21
27N. EhlersL000-130.19200—15:56
85M. PerreaultC022000.1201010015:37
18B. LittleC000020.341005015:35
29P. LaineL101030.16010—15:16
16S. MatthiasL000-120.19012—15:03
5D. KulikovD000-100.00212—14:05
9A. CoppC000-110.151004411:23
19N. PetanC000000.00000010:08
13B. TanevL101010.23102—09:27
40J. ArmiaR000-200.00030—08:12
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Mason(L)45396.8673.49-2.5160:00

Season series

WPG leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).