NHL Team Explorer
Does a club that out-shoots its opponents also out-score them? Who creates chances and gives few back? Put any two team measures on the axes; better is always up and to the right.
2026-27 seasonour ratings are for 2026-27
G − xG against Win rate32 clubs
Colorado Avalanche are near the top of both: 1st in ability to win (.572) and 1st in scoring above chances per game (+3.66). 9 of 32 clubs are better than the middle on both. The two move together loosely (r = 0.25).
Both measures, rankedordered by the average of the two ranks
| # | Team | Win rate | G − xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Avalanche | .572#1 | +3.66#1 |
| 2 |  Oilers | .527#7 | +1.95#3 |
| 3 |  Golden Knights | .536#3 | +0.40#12 |
| 4 |  Wild | .534#4 | +0.43#11 |
| 5 |  Canadiens | .514#12 | +1.64#5 |
| 6 |  Mammoth | .523#9 | +0.61#10 |
| 7 |  Penguins | .509#15 | +1.88#4 |
| 8 |  Senators | .526#8 | +0.23#14 |
| 9 |  Ducks | .498#17 | +0.95#7 |
| 10 |  Sabres | .533#6 | −0.18#19 |
| 11 |  Jets | .515#10 | +0.07#17 |
| 12 |  Capitals | .515#11 | +0.18#16 |
| 13 |  Blue Jackets | .496#18 | +0.74#9 |
| 14 |  Hurricanes | .538#2 | −0.74#26 |
| 15 |  Kraken | .478#23 | +1.14#6 |
| 16 |  Canucks | .434#32 | +2.19#2 |
| 17 |  Lightning | .533#5 | −1.12#30 |
| 18 |  Sharks | .469#27 | +0.82#8 |
| 19 |  Rangers | .513#14 | −0.44#22 |
| 20 |  Islanders | .477#24 | +0.25#13 |
| 21 |  Predators | .487#21 | −0.22#20 |
| 22 |  Stars | .513#13 | −0.98#29 |
| 23 |  Panthers | .504#16 | −0.90#27 |
| 24 |  Bruins | .491#19 | −0.61#24 |
| 25 |  Kings | .467#28 | +0.18#15 |
| 26 |  Blues | .491#20 | −0.63#25 |
| 27 |  Maple Leafs | .469#26 | −0.43#21 |
| 28 |  Flyers | .473#25 | −0.61#23 |
| 29 |  Blackhawks | .443#31 | −0.05#18 |
| 30 |  Red Wings | .484#22 | −0.93#28 |
| 31 |  Devils | .463#29 | −1.42#32 |
| 32 |  Flames | .447#30 | −1.18#31 |
What the two axes are
Ability to win. Recent win rate with newer games weighted more and every overtime or shootout game counted as a tie.
Scoring above chances per game. Goals scored minus the expected goals of the club's own shots, per game this season, all situations, empty net left out. Finishing skill is a small part of it and luck the larger one, so a big number in either direction usually shrinks.
A lower-is-better measure is drawn with its axis flipped, so the best clubs are always up and to the right. The dashed lines are the league median; r is how closely the two measures move together across the 32 clubs. Methodology →