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Carolina Panthers at Pittsburgh Steelers

Carolina Panthers
Pittsburgh Steelers
Time TBD· Acrisure Stadium

Market

Book
-3.5
o41.5
Exchange
Volume
contracts

Spreads are home-relative — negative means Pittsburgh Steelers is favoured.

Our projection

how the number is built
Model
-5.2
Steelers
Win prob
66%
Steelers
Likely range
-11 to 22
8 in 10 games
Rating gap
1515 − 1399 = +4.6 pts
Shrunk ×0.644
+3.0 pts
Home field
+2.25 pts
Projected margin
+5.2 Steelers

Point differential, shrunk and adjusted for home field. Fitted on 1,087 games (2022–25) and scored on seasons it never saw: 12.9 points of error against 14.0 for no model. Against the closing line on a full season it went 133–133 — exactly even, and the closing line predicted the margin better than this did. Use it to understand a game, not to beat a price. Neither side has played yet, so both ratings are last season’s.

The matchup

form, ratings and the series
Panthers
Away
Our rating
1399#23
FPI rank
#252026
Record
not started
Point diff
last season's rating
Steelers
Home
Our rating
1515#18
FPI rank
#212026
Record
not started
Point diff
last season's rating

Last meeting

Steelers 1–0
  • 2022 wk 15Steelers at Panthers2416Steelers

From the 2022 season on — earlier meetings are not stored.

Order flow

Nothing has traded on the exchange for this game yet.

Who has moved

No price history archived for this game.

Total

The exchange isn't pricing a total for this game yet.

Notable trades

Nothing has traded here at a size worth calling out.

Resting size

No order book for this market right now.

CAR @ PIT
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