Skip to content

Los Angeles Rams at Denver Broncos

Los Angeles Rams
Denver Broncos
· NBC· Empower Field at Mile High

Market

Book
+3
o45.5
Exchange
Volume
contracts

Spreads are home-relative — negative means Denver Broncos is favoured.

Our projection

how the number is built
Model
-1.6
Broncos
Win prob
55%
Broncos
Likely range
-15 to 18
8 in 10 games
Rating gap
1632 − 1659 = -1.1 pts
Shrunk ×0.644
-0.7 pts
Home field
+2.25 pts
Projected margin
+1.6 Broncos

Point differential, shrunk and adjusted for home field. Fitted on 1,087 games (2022–25) and scored on seasons it never saw: 12.9 points of error against 14.0 for no model. Against the closing line on a full season it went 133–133 — exactly even, and the closing line predicted the margin better than this did. Use it to understand a game, not to beat a price.

The matchup

form, ratings and the series
Rams
Away
Our rating
1659#6
FPI rank
#52026
Record
0-1
Point diff
-20-20/g
Broncos
Home
Our rating
1632#8
FPI rank
#132026
Record
not started
Point diff
last season's rating

Last meeting

Broncos 0–1
  • 2022 wk 16Broncos at Rams1451Rams

From the 2022 season on — earlier meetings are not stored.

Order flow

Nothing has traded on the exchange for this game yet.

Who has moved

consensus +3
VenueNowMovedvs cons.
DraftKingsunmoved+300

Movement is measured from the first price we archived (2026-08-31), not from the market open. Spreads are home-relative.

Total

The exchange isn't pricing a total for this game yet.

Notable trades

Nothing has traded here at a size worth calling out.

Resting size

No order book for this market right now.

LAR @ DEN
Sign in to join the chat.