Rays at Braves

Scoreboard

TB7–ATL2

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Truist Park · TB 87-58 · ATL 85-61

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
TB	0	3	0	3	0	0	1	0	0	7	10	0
ATL	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	2	3	0

Last play · Mauricio Dubón lines out to second baseman Richie Palacios.

Win probability

Braves0%

TB 100%ATL 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

TB 6 – 1 ATL

Rays led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 8.5 ↓

fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+104 / -126

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Braves favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓

Biggest swing · Jorge Mateo singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael Harris II. Chandler Simpson scores. Richie Palacios scores. (inning 2) — -18% Rays

Scoring plays

TB–ATL · 8 total

7Liam Hicks singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Jonathan Aranda scores. Junior Caminero to 3rd.7–2

6Matt Olson out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Drake Baldwin scores.6–2

4Drake Baldwin homers (23) on a fly ball to center field.6–1

4Yandy Díaz out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Michael Harris II. Cedric Mullins scores. Richie Palacios to 3rd.6–0

4Richie Palacios singles on a line drive to left fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Chandler Simpson scores. Cedric Mullins to 2nd.5–0

4Cedric Mullins singles on a line drive to left fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Victor Mesa Jr. scores. Chandler Simpson to 3rd.4–0

2Jorge Mateo singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael Harris II. Chandler Simpson scores. Richie Palacios scores.3–0

2Victor Mesa Jr. homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.