Rockies at Tigers
COL7–
DET11Last play · Jordan Beck strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Tigers100%
COL 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 4 – 4 DET
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8 ↑
fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+138 / -168
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Tigers favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Hunter Goodman homers (38) on a fly ball to left field. Jake McCarthy scores. Connor Norby scores. (inning 3) — -35% Rockies
8Hao-Yu Lee triples (2) on a fly ball to right fielder Jordan Beck. Spencer Torkelson scores. Ben Malgeri scores.7–11
8John Peck out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Cole Carrigg. Max Clark scores.7–9
8Ben Malgeri walks. Eduardo Valencia scores. Max Clark to 3rd. Spencer Torkelson to 2nd.7–8
8Spencer Torkelson walks. Zach McKinstry scores. Eduardo Valencia to 3rd. Max Clark to 2nd.7–7
8Riley Greene singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jordan Beck. Gleyber Torres scores.7–6
8Gleyber Torres doubles (13) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jake McCarthy. Hao-Yu Lee scores.7–5
8Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Ezequiel Tovar homers (11) on a fly ball to left field.7–4
6Jake McCarthy singles on a ground ball to left fielder Riley Greene. Jordan Beck scores. Adael Amador scores. Jake McCarthy to 2nd. Jake McCarthy advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by left fielder Riley Greene.6–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.