Astros at Phillies

Scoreboard

HOU7–PHI11

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Citizens Bank Park · HOU 74-72 · PHI 82-64

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
HOU	0	0	4	2	0	0	1	0	0	7	12	2
PHI	0	0	4	0	1	6	0	0	·	11	12	2

Last play · Yordan Alvarez pops out to third baseman Bryson Stott in foul territory.

Win probability

Phillies100%

HOU 0%PHI 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

HOU 6 – 5 PHI

Astros led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 8

fair over 50.9% · hold 4.7%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+133 / -161

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Phillies favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓

Biggest swing · Cam Smith homers (19) on a fly ball to center field. Daulton Varsho scores. (inning 4) — -25% Astros

Scoring plays

HOU–PHI · 8 total

7Isaac Paredes singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Justin Crawford. Jeremy Peña scores.7–11

6Kyle Schwarber hits a grand slam (44) to right field. Edmundo Sosa scores. Justin Crawford scores. Bryan De La Cruz scores.6–11

6Bryan De La Cruz walks. Bryson Stott scores. Edmundo Sosa to 3rd. Justin Crawford to 2nd.6–7

6Edmundo Sosa singles on a ground ball to right fielder Cam Smith. Luis Arraez scores. Bryson Stott to 2nd.6–6

5Trea Turner homers (19) on a fly ball to right center field.6–5

4Cam Smith homers (19) on a fly ball to center field. Daulton Varsho scores.6–4

3Luis Arraez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Bryce Harper scores.4–4

3Bryce Harper singles on a ground ball to right fielder Cam Smith. Bryan De La Cruz scores. Trea Turner scores. Bryce Harper to 2nd. Bryce Harper advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by right fielder Cam Smith.4–3

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.