Astros at Rays

Scoreboard

HOU2–TB3

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Tropicana Field · HOU 75-74 · TB 89-59

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
HOU	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	5	0
TB	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	·	3	7	0

Last play · Taylor Trammell flies out sharply to right fielder Victor Mesa Jr.

Win probability

Rays100%

HOU 0%TB 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

HOU 1 – 2 TB

Rays led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7.5

opened 8 ↓

fair over 51% · hold 4.5%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+123 / -149

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Rays favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓

Biggest swing · Richie Palacios singles on a line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Victor Mesa Jr. scores. Chandler Simpson scores. (inning 5) — +30% Rays

Scoring plays

HOU–TB · 4 total

7Nick Madrigal out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Kenny Piper scores. Chandler Simpson to 2nd.2–3

6Yainer Diaz singles on a ground ball to left fielder Chandler Simpson. Jose Altuve scores.2–2

5Richie Palacios singles on a line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Victor Mesa Jr. scores. Chandler Simpson scores.1–2

1Isaac Paredes homers (20) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.