Virginia Lynchburg vs. Presbyterian: Final Score & Recap

ReplayCommandBoxAnalyticsMatchup

Virginia Lynchburg0-1

0017

Presbyterian0-1

▸0048

Final

Bailey Memorial Stadium

	1	2	3	4	T
VIRG	0	10	7	0	17
PRES	3	17	21	7	48

VIRGTeam statsPRES

172Total yards534

180Pass307

-8Rush227

8First downs26

3-133rd down5-12

1Turnovers1

23:27Possession36:33

Scoring plays

• Q4 4:56PRESDylan Boone 11 Yd pass from Ty Englehart (Mack Mikko Kick)17–48
• Q3 0:21PRESDominic Kibby 14 Yd pass from Tyler Wesley (Mack Mikko Kick)17–41
• Q3 5:17PRESTyler Wesley 1 Yd Run (Mack Mikko Kick)17–34
• Q3 9:12PRESCincere Gill 20 Yd pass from Tyler Wesley (Mack Mikko Kick)17–27
• Q3 13:31VIRGRonald Stephens 4 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Jacob Davis Kick)17–20
• Q2 1:00PRESCaleb Francis 32 Yd Interception Return (Mack Mikko Kick)10–20
• Q2 1:16PRESMack Mikko 22 Yd Field Goal 10–13
• Q2 7:57VIRGJacob Davis 33 Yd Field Goal 10–10
• Q2 11:14VIRGJason Scirigione 64 Yd pass from CJ Brooks (Rashad Shepard Kick)7–10
• Q2 13:26PRESDominic Kibby 59 Yd pass from Tyler Wesley (Mack Mikko Kick)0–10
• Q1 3:25PRESMack Mikko 21 Yd Field Goal 0–3

Win probability

ours solid · ESPN dashed

PRES 100%50%VIRG 100%

Kickoff26 plays →Final

Tap or hover on the chart to see play details

PRES (top)VIRG (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: PRES 100%

Leaders

Virginia Lynchburg

• PassCharles Brooks Jr. 10/22, 147 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
• RushJacob Walker 11 CAR, 23 YDS
• RecJason Scirigione 2 REC, 79 YDS, 1 TD

Presbyterian

• PassTyler Wesley 14/22, 240 YDS, 3 TD
• RushTyler Wesley 9 CAR, 67 YDS, 1 TD
• RecJordan Irizarry 5 REC, 93 YDS

Tempo

what this pace leaves on the clock

135.6sper snap · slower the national 24.5s

fastnational avgslow

Snaps run

24

Points / snap

2.71

This exact spot, historically

empirical, no ratings

PRES up 24 entering the 4th quarter. Across 554 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):

100%

PRES went on to win

A near-lock historically

Most comparable games

WSMU vs Louisiana Tech38-14WIndiana vs Indiana State41-7WDuke vs Northwestern38-14WArkansas State vs Stony Brook31-7WHouston vs Sam Houston38-7

FAQ

What was the final score of Virginia Lynchburg vs. Presbyterian?

Virginia Lynchburg 17, Presbyterian 48.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Yes — the model's pick (PRES) was correct.

Situational splits

what the averages hide

VIRG

PRES

—

Success rate

33%

—

EPA / pass

0.30

—

EPA / rush

-0.23

—

Early-down success

33%

—

Pass success

38%

—

Rush success

31%

—

Explosive play rate (15+ yds)

8%

—

Stuffed rush rate

44%

—

Pass rate

33%

—

Avg 3rd-down distance

7.0

VIRG

—

0 scrimmage snaps

PRES

7.0 yards to go on 3rd down

24 scrimmage snaps

Team stats

the basics, from ESPN

VIRG		PRES
172	Total yards	534
180	Passing yards	307
-8	Rushing yards	227
8	First downs	26
3-13	3rd down	5-12
0-0	4th down	2-2
12/26	Comp/Att	18/26
6.9	Yards per pass	11.8
-0.3	Yards per rush	4.7
1	Turnovers	1
12-88	Penalties	8-60
23:27	Possession	36:33

Drive chart

every possession, start to finish

VIRG 0/4 scoring drives← own end zone →PRES 0/8 scoring drives

VIRGPUNT5 pl, 3 yds· own 19Q1

PRESPUNT6 pl, 31 yds· own 27Q1

VIRGMISS10 pl, 48 yds· own 21Q1

PRESTD2 pl, 62 yds· own 38Q2

PRESFG14 pl, 75 yds· own 20Q2

VIRGEND2 pl, 6 yds· own 8Q2

PRESPUNT3 pl, 2 yds· own 31Q3

PRESPUNT5 pl, 35 yds· own 22Q3

PRESTD8 pl, 57 yds· own 43Q3

VIRGPUNT3 pl, -3 yds· own 26Q3

PRESTD8 pl, 84 yds· own 16Q4

PRESEND4 pl, 31 yds· own 20Q4

Scoring plays

• Q4 4:56PRESDylan Boone 11 Yd pass from Ty Englehart (Mack Mikko Kick)17–48
• Q3 0:21PRESDominic Kibby 14 Yd pass from Tyler Wesley (Mack Mikko Kick)17–41
• Q3 5:17PRESTyler Wesley 1 Yd Run (Mack Mikko Kick)17–34
• Q3 9:12PRESCincere Gill 20 Yd pass from Tyler Wesley (Mack Mikko Kick)17–27
• Q3 13:31VIRGRonald Stephens 4 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Jacob Davis Kick)17–20
• Q2 1:00PRESCaleb Francis 32 Yd Interception Return (Mack Mikko Kick)10–20
• Q2 1:16PRESMack Mikko 22 Yd Field Goal 10–13
• Q2 7:57VIRGJacob Davis 33 Yd Field Goal 10–10
• Q2 11:14VIRGJason Scirigione 64 Yd pass from CJ Brooks (Rashad Shepard Kick)7–10
• Q2 13:26PRESDominic Kibby 59 Yd pass from Tyler Wesley (Mack Mikko Kick)0–10
• Q1 3:25PRESMack Mikko 21 Yd Field Goal 0–3

Model prediction

how the number is built

One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.

Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →