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Which is the best college football conference in 2023?

Analysis

Every FBS team is a dot. Conference averages are not shown, and that is the point: the SEC’s mean is dragged up by four teams, the Big Ten’s spread is twice the Sun Belt’s, and a bar chart of means says none of it. What “compare the conferences” actually asks is how much of one league sits inside the other.

Points per drive allowed · 2023

FBS medianBig TenSECACCConference USAPac-12Big 12Sun BeltMid-AmericanMountain WestFBS IndependentsAmerican Athlet…

One dot per team, one tick per conference median. Leagues are ordered by median, and the mean is deliberately not shown — four teams drag it and it hides how far the two distributions overlap.

ConferenceTeamsMedianSpreadBest
Big Ten142.01.2Michigan 0.949
SEC142.00.521Texas A&M 1.2
ACC142.10.635Clemson 1.4
Conference USA92.20.564Jacksonville State 1.4
Pac-12122.20.720UCLA 1.4
Big 12142.30.465Texas 1.5
Sun Belt142.30.640Troy 1.4
Mid-American122.30.547Miami (OH) 1.2
Mountain West122.30.557Air Force 1.8
FBS Independents42.41.0Notre Dame 1.4
American Athletic142.41.1SMU 1.4

Two numbers, not one

Median answers “how good is this league”. Spread — the interquartile range — answers “how evenly good”, and it is usually the more interesting of the two. A league with a high median and a huge spread is four contenders and eight teams padding their records, which is exactly the shape that produces a conference champion who keeps losing in January.

Note which metric you are looking at. CORE is opponent-adjusted, so it can be compared across leagues honestly. The raw metrics cannot: a conference that plays itself twelve times has its schedule strength baked into every raw number, which is the single most common way conference comparisons go wrong.