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Which is the best college football conference in 2021?

Analysis

Every FBS team is a dot. Conference averages are not shown, and that is the point: the SEC’s mean is dragged up by four teams, the Big Ten’s spread is twice the Sun Belt’s, and a bar chart of means says none of it. What “compare the conferences” actually asks is how much of one league sits inside the other.

Average starting field position · 2021

FBS medianMountain WestBig 12Mid-AmericanAmerican Athlet…Conference USASun BeltBig TenACCPac-12SECFBS Independents

One dot per team, one tick per conference median. Leagues are ordered by median, and the mean is deliberately not shown — four teams drag it and it hides how far the two distributions overlap.

ConferenceTeamsMedianSpreadBest
Mountain West1229.82.1San Diego State 32.1
Big 121029.63.6Baylor 31.5
American Athletic1129.65.0Cincinnati 34.1
Mid-American1229.62.6Bowling Green 31.8
Conference USA1429.52.9Middle Tennessee 31.6
Sun Belt1028.91.8App State 30.5
Big Ten1428.94.4Iowa 33.9
ACC1428.72.7Pittsburgh 31.1
Pac-121228.52.5UCLA 31.4
SEC1428.31.9Tennessee 31.3
FBS Independents728.21.6Army 36.8

Two numbers, not one

Median answers “how good is this league”. Spread — the interquartile range — answers “how evenly good”, and it is usually the more interesting of the two. A league with a high median and a huge spread is four contenders and eight teams padding their records, which is exactly the shape that produces a conference champion who keeps losing in January.

Note which metric you are looking at. CORE is opponent-adjusted, so it can be compared across leagues honestly. The raw metrics cannot: a conference that plays itself twelve times has its schedule strength baked into every raw number, which is the single most common way conference comparisons go wrong.