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Which is the best college football conference in 2023?

Analysis

Every FBS team is a dot. Conference averages are not shown, and that is the point: the SEC’s mean is dragged up by four teams, the Big Ten’s spread is twice the Sun Belt’s, and a bar chart of means says none of it. What “compare the conferences” actually asks is how much of one league sits inside the other.

Defense EPA/play allowed · 2023

FBS medianBig TenACCMid-AmericanSECAmerican Athlet…Sun BeltConference USABig 12Pac-12Mountain WestFBS Independents

One dot per team, one tick per conference median. Leagues are ordered by median, and the mean is deliberately not shown — four teams drag it and it hides how far the two distributions overlap.

ConferenceTeamsMedianSpreadBest
Big Ten140.1110.162Penn State -0.051
ACC140.1150.123Clemson 0.045
Mid-American120.1360.098Ohio 0.022
SEC140.1380.060Georgia 0.074
American Athletic140.1400.125SMU 0.013
Sun Belt140.1610.119Troy 0.010
Conference USA90.1720.045Jacksonville State 0.035
Big 12140.1760.100Oklahoma 0.070
Pac-12120.1820.123Oregon 0.060
Mountain West120.1940.069Air Force 0.116
FBS Independents40.2300.070Notre Dame -0.013

Two numbers, not one

Median answers “how good is this league”. Spread — the interquartile range — answers “how evenly good”, and it is usually the more interesting of the two. A league with a high median and a huge spread is four contenders and eight teams padding their records, which is exactly the shape that produces a conference champion who keeps losing in January.

Note which metric you are looking at. CORE is opponent-adjusted, so it can be compared across leagues honestly. The raw metrics cannot: a conference that plays itself twelve times has its schedule strength baked into every raw number, which is the single most common way conference comparisons go wrong.