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Which is the best college football conference in 2022?

Analysis

Every FBS team is a dot. Conference averages are not shown, and that is the point: the SEC’s mean is dragged up by four teams, the Big Ten’s spread is twice the Sun Belt’s, and a bar chart of means says none of it. What “compare the conferences” actually asks is how much of one league sits inside the other.

CORE offense · 2022

FBS medianSECBig 12Pac-12American Athlet…ACCBig TenConference USAFBS IndependentsSun BeltMid-AmericanMountain West

One dot per team, one tick per conference median. Leagues are ordered by median, and the mean is deliberately not shown — four teams drag it and it hides how far the two distributions overlap.

ConferenceTeamsMedianSpreadBest
SEC146.114.6Georgia 20.9
Big 12105.612.8Kansas 17.0
Pac-12125.417.3USC 20.1
American Athletic113.010.1Houston 9.4
ACC141.713.7Florida State 16.3
Big Ten141.511.5Ohio State 22.9
Conference USA11-3.414.1UTSA 8.4
FBS Independents7-4.311.5BYU 6.2
Sun Belt14-4.69.4Coastal Carolina 9.8
Mid-American12-6.18.5Eastern Michigan 3.0
Mountain West12-6.211.0Boise State 6.8

Two numbers, not one

Median answers “how good is this league”. Spread — the interquartile range — answers “how evenly good”, and it is usually the more interesting of the two. A league with a high median and a huge spread is four contenders and eight teams padding their records, which is exactly the shape that produces a conference champion who keeps losing in January.

Note which metric you are looking at. CORE is opponent-adjusted, so it can be compared across leagues honestly. The raw metrics cannot: a conference that plays itself twelve times has its schedule strength baked into every raw number, which is the single most common way conference comparisons go wrong.