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Which is the best college football conference in 2024?

Analysis

Every FBS team is a dot. Conference averages are not shown, and that is the point: the SEC’s mean is dragged up by four teams, the Big Ten’s spread is twice the Sun Belt’s, and a bar chart of means says none of it. What “compare the conferences” actually asks is how much of one league sits inside the other.

Points per drive · 2024

FBS medianBig 12Pac-12SECSun BeltAmerican Athlet…FBS IndependentsBig TenACCMountain WestMid-AmericanConference USA

One dot per team, one tick per conference median. Leagues are ordered by median, and the mean is deliberately not shown — four teams drag it and it hides how far the two distributions overlap.

ConferenceTeamsMedianSpreadBest
Big 12162.60.557Arizona State 3.0
Pac-1222.51.1Washington State 3.1
SEC162.40.579Ole Miss 3.2
Sun Belt142.30.382Texas State 3.1
American Athletic142.21.1Army 3.8
FBS Independents32.21.4Notre Dame 3.2
Big Ten182.20.788Indiana 3.6
ACC172.20.745Miami 3.8
Mountain West122.10.772Boise State 3.2
Mid-American122.00.520Ohio 2.4
Conference USA101.80.775Jacksonville State 3.0

Two numbers, not one

Median answers “how good is this league”. Spread — the interquartile range — answers “how evenly good”, and it is usually the more interesting of the two. A league with a high median and a huge spread is four contenders and eight teams padding their records, which is exactly the shape that produces a conference champion who keeps losing in January.

Note which metric you are looking at. CORE is opponent-adjusted, so it can be compared across leagues honestly. The raw metrics cannot: a conference that plays itself twelve times has its schedule strength baked into every raw number, which is the single most common way conference comparisons go wrong.