Robert Morris vs. Akron: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
ROBETeam statsAKR
- Q4 3:27AKRBrayden Roggow 15 Yd Run (Aidan Stire Kick)10–45
- Q4 11:45AKRElijah Alexander 3 Yd pass from Cibastian Broughton (Matthew Schramm Kick)10–38
- Q3 5:21AKRJordan Gant 1 Yd Run (Matthew Schramm Kick)10–31
- Q3 8:55AKRMatthew Schramm 38 Yd Field Goal 10–24
- Q2 0:00ROBELucca Valens 22 Yd Field Goal 10–21
- Q2 5:45AKRMiles Burris 6 Yd pass from Cibastian Broughton (Matthew Schramm Kick)7–21
- Q2 13:19AKRElijah Alexander 25 Yd pass from Cibastian Broughton (Matthew Schramm Kick)7–14
- Q2 14:51ROBEGalen Combs 43 Yd pass from Carson Haggard (Lucca Valens Kick)7–7
- Q1 3:52AKRSean Patrick 41 Yd pass from Cibastian Broughton (Matthew Schramm Kick)0–7
How the model called it
Cumulative margin after each quarter. Above the line = ROBE ahead, below = AKR ahead.
Play-by-play win probability isn't available for this game — scoreboard margin by quarter shown instead.
- PassCarson Haggard 19/28, 179 YDS, 1 TD
- RushKeino Fitzpatrick II 10 CAR, 11 YDS
- RecGalen Combs 9 REC, 119 YDS, 1 TD
- PassCibastian Broughton 23/27, 227 YDS, 4 TD
- RushJordan Gant 12 CAR, 81 YDS, 1 TD
- RecSean Patrick 4 REC, 65 YDS, 1 TD
FAQ
What was the final score of Robert Morris vs. Akron?
Robert Morris 10, Akron 45.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (AKR) was correct.
| ROBE | AKR | |
|---|---|---|
| 194 | Total yards | 523 |
| 180 | Passing yards | 282 |
| 14 | Rushing yards | 241 |
| 12 | First downs | 28 |
| 4-12 | 3rd down | 5-11 |
| 0-0 | 4th down | 1-2 |
| 20/30 | Comp/Att | 28/33 |
| 6.0 | Yards per pass | 8.5 |
| 0.7 | Yards per rush | 6.2 |
| 2 | Turnovers | 1 |
| 1-10 | Penalties | 8-68 |
| 24:46 | Possession | 35:14 |
- Q4 3:27AKRBrayden Roggow 15 Yd Run (Aidan Stire Kick)10–45
- Q4 11:45AKRElijah Alexander 3 Yd pass from Cibastian Broughton (Matthew Schramm Kick)10–38
- Q3 5:21AKRJordan Gant 1 Yd Run (Matthew Schramm Kick)10–31
- Q3 8:55AKRMatthew Schramm 38 Yd Field Goal 10–24
- Q2 0:00ROBELucca Valens 22 Yd Field Goal 10–21
- Q2 5:45AKRMiles Burris 6 Yd pass from Cibastian Broughton (Matthew Schramm Kick)7–21
- Q2 13:19AKRElijah Alexander 25 Yd pass from Cibastian Broughton (Matthew Schramm Kick)7–14
- Q2 14:51ROBEGalen Combs 43 Yd pass from Carson Haggard (Lucca Valens Kick)7–7
- Q1 3:52AKRSean Patrick 41 Yd pass from Cibastian Broughton (Matthew Schramm Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency, with home-field advantage. That projects AKR -35.2 (98% to win) — 8.7 points clear of AKR's market line of -26.5. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →