Prairie View A&M vs. Baylor: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
PRAITeam statsBAY
- Q4 8:42BAYRhett Armstrong 22 Yd Field Goal3–44
- Q3 1:39BAYJayden McGowan 13 Yd Run (Rhett Armstrong Kick)3–41
- Q2 4:10BAYRhett Armstrong 45 Yd Field Goal 3–34
- Q2 12:55BAYNate Bennett 17 Yd Run (Rhett Armstrong Kick)3–31
- Q2 13:51BAYDre'lon Miller 22 Yd pass from Nate Bennett (Rhett Armstrong Kick)3–24
- Q1 0:59BAYJayden McGowan 33 Yd pass from Nate Bennett (Rhett Armstrong Kick)3–17
- Q1 4:22BAYCaden Knighten 5 Yd Run (Rhett Armstrong Kick)3–10
- Q1 8:20BAYRhett Armstrong 46 Yd Field Goal 3–3
- Q1 10:58PRAIEthan Eddins 25 Yd Field Goal 3–0
How the model called it
Cumulative margin after each quarter. Above the line = PRAI ahead, below = BAY ahead.
Play-by-play win probability isn't available for this game — scoreboard margin by quarter shown instead.
- PassTevin Carter 14/25, 74 YDS
- RushZayvion Turner-Knox 4 CAR, 12 YDS
- RecKy'Yon Harris 3 REC, 38 YDS
- PassNate Bennett 23/35, 301 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
- RushDawson Pendergrass 15 CAR, 69 YDS
- RecGavin Freeman 10 REC, 104 YDS
FAQ
What was the final score of Prairie View A&M vs. Baylor?
Prairie View A&M 3, Baylor 44.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (BAY) was correct.
| PRAI | BAY | |
|---|---|---|
| 110 | Total yards | 552 |
| 74 | Passing yards | 320 |
| 36 | Rushing yards | 232 |
| 7 | First downs | 32 |
| 4-16 | 3rd down | 8-14 |
| 0-0 | 4th down | 2-2 |
| 14/27 | Comp/Att | 25/42 |
| 2.7 | Yards per pass | 7.6 |
| 1.4 | Yards per rush | 5.5 |
| 1 | Turnovers | 3 |
| 10-87 | Penalties | 9-85 |
| 25:38 | Possession | 34:22 |
- Q4 8:42BAYRhett Armstrong 22 Yd Field Goal3–44
- Q3 1:39BAYJayden McGowan 13 Yd Run (Rhett Armstrong Kick)3–41
- Q2 4:10BAYRhett Armstrong 45 Yd Field Goal 3–34
- Q2 12:55BAYNate Bennett 17 Yd Run (Rhett Armstrong Kick)3–31
- Q2 13:51BAYDre'lon Miller 22 Yd pass from Nate Bennett (Rhett Armstrong Kick)3–24
- Q1 0:59BAYJayden McGowan 33 Yd pass from Nate Bennett (Rhett Armstrong Kick)3–17
- Q1 4:22BAYCaden Knighten 5 Yd Run (Rhett Armstrong Kick)3–10
- Q1 8:20BAYRhett Armstrong 46 Yd Field Goal 3–3
- Q1 10:58PRAIEthan Eddins 25 Yd Field Goal 3–0
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency, with home-field advantage. That projects BAY -41.3 (99% to win) — 3.8 points clear of BAY's market line of -37.5. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →