New Hampshire vs. Syracuse: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
NEW Team statsSYR
- Q4 0:48SYRTripp Woody 34 Yd Field Goal 3–66
- Q4 8:52SYRDaunte Bacheyie 7 Yd pass from Amari Odom (Tripp Woody PAT failed)3–63
- Q4 11:53SYRZyian Moultrie-Goddard 26 Yd Fumble Return (Tripp Woody Kick)3–57
- Q4 13:16SYRUmari Hatcher 18 Yd pass from Steve Angeli (Tripp Woody Kick)3–50
- Q4 14:50NEW Lucas Glassburn 46 Yd Field Goal 3–43
- Q3 13:30SYRTeam Safety 0–43
- Q2 1:42SYRShavane Anderson Jr. 2 Yd Run (Tripp Woody Kick)0–41
- Q2 4:38SYRDavid Clement 27 Yd pass from Steve Angeli (Tripp Woody Kick)0–34
- Q2 6:58SYRShavane Anderson Jr. 15 Yd Run (Tripp Woody PAT failed)0–27
- Q2 9:31SYRTylik Hill 2 Yd Run (Tripp Woody Kick)0–21
- Q1 1:35SYRShavane Anderson Jr. 2 Yd Run (Tripp Woody Kick)0–14
- Q1 4:27SYRUmari Hatcher 19 Yd pass from Steve Angeli (Tripp Woody Kick)0–7
How the model called it
Syracuse was in control wire to wire. What the rout was actually built on.
Steven Angeli scored 18 of Syracuse's points. They rout New Hampshire, 66-3 at JMA Wireless Dome. Syracuse led from start to finish and never let New Hampshire within striking distance. Steven Angeli threw for 263 yards on 29 attempts with three touchdowns and lost 14 yards on three carries.
- PassBrooks Bentley 11/18, 75 YDS, 1 INT
- RushJoquez Smith 8 CAR, 64 YDS
- RecMyles Thomason 7 REC, 37 YDS
- PassSteve Angeli 20/29, 263 YDS, 3 TD
- RushShavane Anderson Jr. 10 CAR, 102 YDS, 3 TD
- RecUmari Hatcher 8 REC, 147 YDS, 2 TD
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsSYR up 43 entering the 4th quarter. Across 212 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q1 4:27SYR +6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Angeli pass complete short middle to #2 U.Hatcher caught at UNH00, for 19 yards to the UNH00 TOUCHDOWN
FAQ
What was the final score of New Hampshire vs. Syracuse?
New Hampshire 3, Syracuse 66.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (SYR) was correct.
| NEW | SYR | |
|---|---|---|
| 159 | Total yards | 514 |
| 99 | Passing yards | 275 |
| 60 | Rushing yards | 239 |
| 11 | First downs | 32 |
| 5-14 | 3rd down | 8-12 |
| 0-0 | 4th down | 0-1 |
| 15/26 | Comp/Att | 22/34 |
| 3.8 | Yards per pass | 8.1 |
| 1.8 | Yards per rush | 5.6 |
| 3 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 9-66 | Penalties | 12-125 |
| 27:26 | Possession | 32:34 |
Costliest call
Q3 7:25 NEW punt on 4th & 1 at NEW 27. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.93 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 0:48SYRTripp Woody 34 Yd Field Goal 3–66
- Q4 8:52SYRDaunte Bacheyie 7 Yd pass from Amari Odom (Tripp Woody PAT failed)3–63
- Q4 11:53SYRZyian Moultrie-Goddard 26 Yd Fumble Return (Tripp Woody Kick)3–57
- Q4 13:16SYRUmari Hatcher 18 Yd pass from Steve Angeli (Tripp Woody Kick)3–50
- Q4 14:50NEW Lucas Glassburn 46 Yd Field Goal 3–43
- Q3 13:30SYRTeam Safety 0–43
- Q2 1:42SYRShavane Anderson Jr. 2 Yd Run (Tripp Woody Kick)0–41
- Q2 4:38SYRDavid Clement 27 Yd pass from Steve Angeli (Tripp Woody Kick)0–34
- Q2 6:58SYRShavane Anderson Jr. 15 Yd Run (Tripp Woody PAT failed)0–27
- Q2 9:31SYRTylik Hill 2 Yd Run (Tripp Woody Kick)0–21
- Q1 1:35SYRShavane Anderson Jr. 2 Yd Run (Tripp Woody Kick)0–14
- Q1 4:27SYRUmari Hatcher 19 Yd pass from Steve Angeli (Tripp Woody Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency, with home-field advantage. That projects SYR -22.1 (90% to win) — 12.9 points clear of NEW 's market line of -35. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Umari Hatcher went for 147 receiving yards for Syracuse
Syracuse was in control wire to wire. What the rout was actually built on.
The turnover battle was the game
Syracuse won the turnover battle 0-3: Rashard Perry (0.5 TFL, 1 INT, 2 tackles) and Jartavius Flounoy (0.5 TFL, 1 forced fumble, 1 tackle). Syracuse produced 11 plays of 15+ yards to New Hampshire's 4: Steven Angeli (involved in 7), Umari Hatcher (involved in 4) and Shavane Anderson Jr. (involved in 2). Stacked together, it was never close.
The standouts
Steven Angeli threw for 263 yards on 29 attempts with three touchdowns and lost 14 yards on three carries, with two of them from inside the 20, two third-down conversions and a hand in seven plays of 15 yards or more. Umari Hatcher ran one times for 11 yards and caught eight passes for 147 yards, two of them for touchdowns, including two of them from inside the 20 and a hand in four plays of 15 yards or more. Shavane Anderson Jr. ran 10 times for 102 yards and three scores, including two of them from inside the 20. For New Hampshire, Myles Thomason ran 12 times for 23 yards and caught seven passes for 53 yards — five third-down conversions. Tommy McLeish threw for 24 yards on eight attempts and lost 16 yards on four carries. Jocquez Smith ran eight times for 64 yards. Keyshawn Johnson was the disruptive one for Syracuse: 2.5 sacks, 2.5 TFLs, 3.5 tackles.
What New Hampshire has to fix
The problems had names: Brooks Bentley (1 interception and 1 lost fumble).
The defensive story
Two names to keep: Keyshawn Johnson (2.5 sacks, 2.5 TFLs, 3.5 tackles) for Syracuse and Rashard Perry (0.5 TFL, 1 INT, 2 tackles) for Syracuse. 1 of Syracuse's 5 sacks came from the defensive line — a change from the 58% it had averaged over the previous 10 seasons.
The takeaway
Historically similar games since 2019 — close margin, both offenses held far below norm — and how often that offense outperformed this level the following week.
Syracuse did exactly what a better team should against New Hampshire: leave no doubt. Lucas Glassburn was responsible for 3 of New Hampshire's points; there was not enough behind him.
Our coverage of this game
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →