Utah Tech vs. UNLV: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
Utah Tech
UNLV1-0
▸Final
Allegiant Stadium
UTAHTeam statsUNLV
293Total yards695
226Pass191
67Rush504
13First downs33
1-123rd down7-13
2Turnovers1
23:43Possession36:17
- Q4 2:25UNLVDevin Green 38 Yd Run (Andre Meono Kick)14–72
- Q4 8:50UNLVCameron Friel 1 Yd Run (Andre Meono Kick)14–65
- Q4 13:08UNLVTimothy Conerly 8 Yd Run (Andre Meono Kick)14–58
- Q3 1:14UTAHChris Street 31 Yd pass from Deacon Hill (Ilya Uvaydov Kick)14–51
- Q3 5:17UNLVGreg Burrell 4 Yd Run (Caden Chittenden Kick)7–51
- Q2 2:05UNLVCaden Chittenden 36 Yd Field Goal 7–44
- Q2 9:41UNLVCaden Chittenden 28 Yd Field Goal 7–41
- Q2 12:23UNLVMatthew Sluka 30 Yd Run (Caden Chittenden Kick)7–38
- Q2 14:11UNLVCaden Chittenden 27 Yd Field Goal 7–31
- Q1 2:42UNLVRicky White III 7 Yd pass from Matthew Sluka (Caden Chittenden Kick)7–28
- Q1 7:33UNLVRicky White III 55 Yd pass from Matthew Sluka (Caden Chittenden Kick)7–21
- Q1 10:59UNLVRicky White III 5 Yd pass from Matthew Sluka (Caden Chittenden Kick)7–14
- Q1 12:57UTAHAlec Burton 64 Yd pass from Deacon Hill (Ilya Uvaydov Kick)7–7
- Q1 13:54UNLVJai'Den Thomas 27 Yd Run (Caden Chittenden Kick)0–7
How the model called it
Market line
UNLV −41.5
Against the number
UNLV covered
line UNLV −41.5
What the numbers say
- UTAH played behind the sticks — third downs that long convert rarely, and UNLV did not face the same ones. 3rd & 11.5 vs 3rd & 5.5
Kickoff161 plays →Final
Tap or hover on the chart to see play details
UNLV (top)UTAH (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: UNLV 100%
Closing line
UNLV −41.5
Closing total
55.5
Model line
—
Actual result
UTAH 14 – 72 UNLV
Utah Tech
- PassDeacon Hill 14/28, 188 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
- RushReggie Graff 5 CAR, 30 YDS
- RecAlec Burton 1 REC, 64 YDS, 1 TD
UNLV
- PassMatthew Sluka 8/17, 161 YDS, 3 TD
- RushGreg Burrell 11 CAR, 101 YDS, 1 TD
- RecRicky White III 5 REC, 111 YDS, 3 TD
25sper snap · in line with the national 24.5s
fastnational avgslow
Snaps run
144
Points / snap
0.60
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsUNLV up 37 entering the 4th quarter. Across 311 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
100%
UNLV went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of Utah Tech vs. UNLV?
Utah Tech 14, UNLV 72.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (UNLV) was correct.
UTAH
UNLV
27%
Success rate
59%
0.31
EPA / pass
0.66
-0.25
EPA / rush
0.59
29%
Early-down success
60%
30%
Pass success
37%
21%
Rush success
66%
11%
Explosive play rate (15+ yds)
16%
17%
Stuffed rush rate
10%
63%
Pass rate
24%
11.5
Avg 3rd-down distance
5.5
UTAH
11.5 yards to go on 3rd down
64 scrimmage snaps
UNLV
5.5 yards to go on 3rd down
80 scrimmage snaps
| UTAH | UNLV | |
|---|---|---|
| 293 | Total yards | 695 |
| 226 | Passing yards | 191 |
| 67 | Rushing yards | 504 |
| 13 | First downs | 33 |
| 1-12 | 3rd down | 7-13 |
| 1-1 | 4th down | 2-2 |
| 18/34 | Comp/Att | 9/18 |
| 6.6 | Yards per pass | 10.6 |
| 2.8 | Yards per rush | 8.0 |
| 2 | Turnovers | 1 |
| 9-66 | Penalties | 6-70 |
| 23:43 | Possession | 36:17 |
UTAH
9/10 with the model
−0.6 pts · −0.0% win prob
UNLV
5/6 with the model
nothing given up
Costliest call
Q2 7:52 UTAH punt on 4th & 1 at UTAH 34. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.62 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finishUTAH 2/15 scoring drives← own end zone →UNLV 12/15 scoring drives
UNLVTD3 pl, 64 yds· own 36Q1
UTAHTD3 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q1
UNLVTD7 pl, 51 yds· own 49Q1
UTAHPUNT3 pl, 2 yds· own 25Q1
UNLVTD4 pl, 76 yds· own 24Q1
UTAHPUNT3 pl, -5 yds· own 25Q1
UNLVTD9 pl, 62 yds· own 38Q1
UTAHPUNT3 pl, -6 yds· own 25Q1
UNLVFG4 pl, 5 yds· opp 14Q1
UTAHPUNT3 pl, 6 yds· own 25Q2
UNLVTD3 pl, 72 yds· own 28Q2
UTAHINT3 pl, 1 yds· own 25Q2
UNLVFG4 pl, 3 yds· opp 13Q2
UTAHPUNT3 pl, 9 yds· own 25Q2
UNLVFG9 pl, 59 yds· own 23Q2
UTAHMISS9 pl, 55 yds· own 25Q2
UNLVPUNT3 pl, -11 yds· own 20Q2
UTAHEND3 pl, 38 yds· own 47Q2
UTAHFUM4 pl, 30 yds· own 25Q3
UNLVFUM3 pl, 28 yds· own 45Q3
UTAHPUNT3 pl, -8 yds· own 27Q3
UNLVTD12 pl, 60 yds· own 40Q3
UTAHTD9 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q3
UNLVTD8 pl, 64 yds· own 36Q3
UTAHPUNT4 pl, 20 yds· own 25Q4
UNLVTD5 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q4
UTAHPUNT3 pl, -2 yds· own 25Q4
UNLVTD7 pl, 66 yds· own 34Q4
UTAHPUNT3 pl, 1 yds· own 25Q4
UNLVEND3 pl, 10 yds· own 40Q4
- Q4 2:25UNLVDevin Green 38 Yd Run (Andre Meono Kick)14–72
- Q4 8:50UNLVCameron Friel 1 Yd Run (Andre Meono Kick)14–65
- Q4 13:08UNLVTimothy Conerly 8 Yd Run (Andre Meono Kick)14–58
- Q3 1:14UTAHChris Street 31 Yd pass from Deacon Hill (Ilya Uvaydov Kick)14–51
- Q3 5:17UNLVGreg Burrell 4 Yd Run (Caden Chittenden Kick)7–51
- Q2 2:05UNLVCaden Chittenden 36 Yd Field Goal 7–44
- Q2 9:41UNLVCaden Chittenden 28 Yd Field Goal 7–41
- Q2 12:23UNLVMatthew Sluka 30 Yd Run (Caden Chittenden Kick)7–38
- Q2 14:11UNLVCaden Chittenden 27 Yd Field Goal 7–31
- Q1 2:42UNLVRicky White III 7 Yd pass from Matthew Sluka (Caden Chittenden Kick)7–28
- Q1 7:33UNLVRicky White III 55 Yd pass from Matthew Sluka (Caden Chittenden Kick)7–21
- Q1 10:59UNLVRicky White III 5 Yd pass from Matthew Sluka (Caden Chittenden Kick)7–14
- Q1 12:57UTAHAlec Burton 64 Yd pass from Deacon Hill (Ilya Uvaydov Kick)7–7
- Q1 13:54UNLVJai'Den Thomas 27 Yd Run (Caden Chittenden Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOne or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →