North Carolina at Duke

Final· Cameron Indoor Stadium

North Carolina

ACC#28 AdjEM

AdjEM +16.6

Duke

ACC#1 AdjEM

AdjEM +33.7

Scoring	H1	H2	T
North Carolina	34	27	61
Duke	39	37	76

Our number

We projected Duke by 15.4 at a pace of 69.0 possessions — 93% for Duke.

From the rating snapshot of 2026-03-02, which contains no game played on or after it.

Actual +15Miss by 0.4✓ right side

As of 2026-03-02	AdjO	AdjD	AdjT	AdjEM
North Carolina	115.9 43	99.3 33	70.2	+16.59
Duke	123.0 3	89.3 1	67.8	+33.70