Chart 1 of 2
Every way the game could go
0%-38
0%-32
1%-24
1%-18
3%-10
7%-4
12%+4
17%+10
18%+18
17%+24
12%+32
7%+38
3%+46
Arkansas State winsMemphis wins
Arkansas State wins
Market: Memphis −11Projected: Memphis by 16 (86%)
The range of outcomes for this game. Each bar is how often the final margin lands in that range — the more it leans toward Memphis, the more likely Memphis wins.
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From Thirty-seven out: Arkansas State enters 2026 unrecognizable
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