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Chart 4 of 4

What separates Texas and Ohio State

What separates Texas and Ohio State
Ohio StatefavorsTexas
Roster talentoverall talent level of the roster — recruiting pedigree plus an independent preseason roster gradeTexas +8
Transfer portalnet proven talent gained vs lost in transfers — it raises or lowers a roster's projected strengthTexas +5
Last season's body of worklast year's power rating, regressed toward the averageOhio State +3
Returning productionhow much of last year's production is back this seasonTexas +2
Quarterbackthe projected starter's quality and how settled the job isOhio State +1

Each ingredient of our projection and the side it favors — bars toward Texas are why it's the pick (home field is counted separately).

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From Texas can't run on Ohio State's front

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