Chart 5 of 7
How many points get scored
3%14
7%22
15%30
21%38
19%46
16%54
11%62
5%70
2%78
◄ lower scoringhigher scoring ►
Market total: 46.4Model total: 48 (under 50%)
Simulated combined points. Two elite defenses pull the projection well under the market total.
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From Indiana vs Ohio State: a coin flip the model and the market read differently
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